Author Archive: Jeremy Parkinson
What Makes EM Bond ETFs Attractive?
Emerging markets have been under the spotlight so far this year. One of the primary reasons for growing inflows in emerging markets is the uncertainty of President Trump’s protectionist agenda. Investors are worried regarding the implementation of President Trump’s promised tax cuts and de-regulation, after the healthcare bill failure. The increased political tensions in Washington […]
The Times, They Are A-Changin’
Anybody who watches CNBC or Bloomberg TV probably knows about VIX, the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index. Commonly referred to as the “fear index,” VIX measures the market’s expectation of S&P 500 variability over a 30-day horizon. Generally, VIX moves opposite to the S&P – rising as the benchmark falls and declining when the stock […]
GBP/USD To Crack 1.26
We believe that GBP/USD will crack 1.26 this week for a variety of reasons. First, sterling should benefit from euro safe haven flows. The French elections are front and center and the polls are very tight. Markets in Europe are closed today but we think investors will grow increasingly nervous as the week progresses and […]
Here’s Why You Should Be Long The Long Bond. (Are You Shorting Them Right Here, Right Now?)
Disbelief is not an investment plan. I have yet to come across a successful investor or trader whose main investment philosophy is solely, “this won’t end well.” We can have all the strong opinions we want, but I’ll let you in on a little secret. Markets don’t care what we think. Markets are going to […]
Dividend Discount Model: A Simple Three Step Guide To Valuation
In our quest to find the intrinsic value of stocks that we are interested in investing in, we have looked at several different types of formulas to help us determine that value. We haven’t considered the role that dividends play in these valuations, and as dividend investors, this is an important fact to factor in. […]
EUR/AUD Technical Analysis – Monday, April 17
On April 11/2017 bears pushed EUR/AUD lower and it seems lower prices are yet to come in the following trading sessions. At the current moment, bias remains bearish and traders should look for any possible selling opportunities. 1 Hour Chart Bearish Pattern: A bearish pattern is visible on short term analysis but traders need to be […]
Markets Rally, But Still Work To Do
A positive response to Friday’s selling helped erase those losses, but for many indices it wasn’t enough to recover support or reverse technical ‘sell’ triggers. The S&P is on the verge of a ‘death cross’ between 20-day and 50-day MAs as the rally finished just below the 50-day MA. The consolidation channel remains in play […]
Netflix Misses On Subs, Guides Lower; Burns $422 Million But Is Optimistic …
Last quarter investors forgot the negative cash-flow, forgot the soaring cost of content, forgot the rampant competition, and forgot fact that Netflix (NFLX) slashed its domestic subscriber growth expectations, and just bought-the-f##king-record-high because international subscriber growth soared. This quarter, however, they may be less gullible because that surge in international subscribers not only did not […]
Free Money! Banks Paid $22 Billion To Not Lend?
Excess reserves of depository institutions peaked at $2.7 trillion in August of 2014. By December of 2016, excess reserves fell to $1.9 trillion but have since climbed back to $2.2 trillion. On October 3, 2008, Section 128 of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 allowed the Federal Reserve banks to begin paying interest on excess reserve balances (“IOER”) as […]
Stocks And Precious Metals Charts – April 17
Gold and silver were rallying on Sunday evening on the increasing geopolitical risks. However, volumes overall were light today, as several overseas exchanges remained closed and traders off work after the long holiday weekend. And so the metals were sold, and stocks rallied on more puffery and nonsense.
