Risk Premia Forecasts | 5 October 2015
Oct 05, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) dipped again in September. GMI — an unmanaged, market-value weighted mix of the major asset classes — is projected to earn an annualized 3.2% over the “risk-free” rate in the long term. (For details on the equilibrium-based methodology that’s used to generate the forecasts each […]
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The Most Important Investing Risk
Oct 05, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
The stock market has averaged compound total returns of about 9% a year over the last 100+ years. This means a doubling of your money about every 8 years. When your money doubles every 8 years on average you will eventually become very wealthy. And that’s only if you match the market returns. Surely, some investors should beat […]
Great Graphic: Evolving NPL Challenge In Europe
Oct 05, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Former Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke has argued that the poor productivity has held back growth in the US. This seems true in Europe as well, but it has an additional problem: nonperforming loans. As a fraction of all EU loans, the nonperforming share has doubled since 2009 to one trillion euros or 9% of the region’s […]
Target Date Funds As Aid In Portfolio Design
Oct 05, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Investors in or near retirement should be aware of portfolio design leading fund sponsors suggest as appropriate Leading target date funds appear to generally have less severe worst drawdowns that a US 60/40 balanced fund The funds have slightly higher yields than a US 60/40 balanced fund Target date funds have underperformed a US 60/40 […]
Signs Of Bullish Hope – Weekly Market Outlook
Oct 05, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Despite the bearish start to the week on Monday and a bearish initial response to Friday morning’s employment report for September, the bulls managed to reversal course Friday afternoon to hammer out a big gain for that day and even a small gain for the week. A couple of the key indices even managed to […]
GBP/USD Sees Bear Threats, Targets The 1.5166/33 Zone
Oct 05, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
GBPUSD: GBP faces downside pressure following its rejection candle print on Friday. This was formed after unsustained rally and the pair looks to weaken further having given away most of its intra day gains during Monday trading session. It looks to take out the 1.5166/33 zone, its strong support. If this occurs, further weakness is […]
MS Boosts TSLA Price Target To $465, Days After Underwriting Stock Offering; Sees Tesla Bigger Than Ford And GM
Aug 17, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Entertainment
The last time Morgan Stanley made a mockery of Reg-S, was in February 2014 when a day before Tesla announced a $1.6 billion convertible offering Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas raised his PT on TSLA from $153 to $320, sending the stock soaring and assuring far less convertible dilution on the day of pricing. Fast forward 1.5 […]
After This, Higher Education Will Never Be The Same Again
Aug 17, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Entertainment
I’ve been a long-time financial supporter of my alma mater. Even though I philosophically disagree with some of the positions of the administration, there’s never been a doubt that I’m a Georgetown Hoya through-and-through. My education while on campus, both in and out of class, was top-notch. It gave me a base to build on […]
Turmoil In Emerging Markets: The Czech Republic
Aug 17, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Entertainment
Although the currency war has followed in depth the major players over the last few years, emerging markets are under substantial pressure to perform. Loose monetary policies fed much of the gains witnessed in emerging markets as foreign direct investment dominated the investment scene, chasing after higher yields available in less developed markets. However, now […]