Author Archive: Jeremy Parkinson
Euro – Attempting Breakout, Could Be First Time In A Year
Since 2008, the Euro has been been in a down trend, creating a series of lower highs and lower lows. The world has had little interest in owning the Euro over the past 8-years. Is this trend about to change? Below looks at the Euro over the past 18-years, on a monthly closing basis. […]
E The Yellen Put Option Lives!
Any monetary hawks hoping for an acceleration of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy had their hopes sorely dashed today. Chairman Janet Yellen’s speech could not have been more dovish if it had been written by the most extreme deflationista. Let me parse her words for you: “greater gradualism” “less favorable economic conditions” “weaker foreign […]
Trendline Threat
As if things weren’t bad enough, I was greeted this morning with this article from Zerohedge: Who, as cited by ZH, engages in what is persistently the most twee writing known to man: Thus, the last embers of ursine hope are being doused out, as we approach Custer’s Land Stand on the ES:
Wednesday – When Fed Doves Cry, The Market Flies
How can you just leave me standing? Alone in a world so cold? (World so cold) Maybe I’m just too demanding Maybe you’re just like my mother She’s never satisfied (She’s never satisfied) This is what it sounds likeWhen doves cry Janet Yellen could not have been more doveish yesterday. In what was effectively a […]
Corporate Profits Forecast: Near The Bottom But No Strong Rebound Anytime Soon
Corporate profits dropped eight percent in the fourth quarter of 2015, most of the decline coming from petroleum and coal products. In fact, that sector’s profits were not only down; they turned from black ink to red ink in a single quarter. Without petroleum’s misfortune, corporate profits would have edged down only 1.7 percent. The remainder […]
USD/JPY And AUD/USD Forecast – March 30, 2016
USD/JPY The USD/JPY pair initially rallied during the course of the session on Tuesday, but turned back around to form a massively red candle. We are testing the 112.50 level below, which of course has been somewhat important recently. If we break down below there, we could go as low as the 111 handle, which […]
E The Daily Shot And Data – March 30, 2016
Greetings, Once again we begin with the United States where the Fed Chair Janet Yellen struck a decisively dovish tone. Here is the key paragraph from her speech on Tuesday. Source: FRB She is basically saying that there is no rush to raise rates because the Fed has plenty of room to hike if inflation picks […]
ADP: U.S. Private Payrolls Rise By A Respectable 200,000 In March
U.S. companies added 200,000 jobs last month (seasonally adjusted), according to this morning’s update of the ADP Employment Report. Although March’s gain was slightly below the previous month’s increase, today’s release suggests that the year-over-year trend for private-sector job creation is settling in to a low-2% trend–a pace that’s strong enough, if sustained, to keep the US […]
“Bad News Is Great Again” – Global Stocks Soar After Yellen Admits Global Economy Is Much Weaker
At the end of the day, it was all about the dollar. Starting March 18, the Bloomberg Dollar Spot had risen as much as 1.9% as Fed officials including Lacker, Williams and Bullard noted upside risks on rate-hike projection and suggested a rate hike may be imminent as soon as April. And then Yellen unleashed […]
The Fed Thinks It Can Raise Rates With All This Going On
You’d think with all the geopolitical crises and a weak world economy that market fear and volatility would be high. Instead, over the last month or so, we’ve seen a few fits and starts in the equity markets, but stock indices are still sitting close to all-time highs. When the Fed raised rates last December, […]
