Author Archive: Jeremy Parkinson

The EU Commissioner

The EU Commissioner

    The EU President Jean-Claude Juncker has announced a €315 bn investment scheme in yet another attempt to try to kick-start the economy, and create 1.3 million jobs. These schemes are hopeless because they keep hunting capital and raising taxes. Without confidence in the future, people will not invest or expand their business to offset […]
Chicago PMI Suffers 4th Biggest Drop Since Lehman

Chicago PMI Suffers 4th Biggest Drop Since Lehman

Having surged to last October’s highs last month, Chicago PMI tumbled back to mediocrity in November, missing exuberant expectations by the most since July. As 60.8 (against 63.0 expectations) this is barely above the levels of Q1’s polar vortex as New Orders, Employment, and Production all fell (with only 2 components rising). This is the […]
The Secret “Squares” Of Your Retirement Savings

The Secret “Squares” Of Your Retirement Savings

The following is an excerpt from Rich As A King: How the Wisdom of Chess Can Make You a Grandmaster of Investing. by Douglas Goldstein and Susan Polgar.  The center of the chessboard consists of four squares. In order to maintain a strong position during a game of chess, make sure you dominate at least two of them. […]
OPEC’s Prisoner’s Dilemma

OPEC’s Prisoner’s Dilemma

In the middle of November, the CEO of Vodafone (ADR) Vittorio Colao warned of a “prisoner’s dilemma” in the efforts to offer bundled television and broadband services.  It makes sense for a company to seek unique content to differentiate it from others. However, if all the providers try to secure exclusive content, it triggers an arms […]
Durable Goods Improved In October 2014. The Internals Again Were Not Good – Expectations Were Mixed

Durable Goods Improved In October 2014. The Internals Again Were Not Good – Expectations Were Mixed

The headlines say the durable goods new orders improved. Our analysis agrees – and if you ignore defense aircraft, durable goods were again very soft month-over-month.  Econintersect Analysis: unadjusted new orders growth accelerated 0.3% (after decelerating a revised 2.1% the previous month) month-over-month , but is up 5.4% year-over-year.  the three month rolling average for unadjusted new orders decelerated 10.6% month-over-month, and up 5.9% […]
The Stock Whisper Of The Day: GDX, S, XLF, AGG, SPY

The Stock Whisper Of The Day: GDX, S, XLF, AGG, SPY

Astro-Med Reports Strong Results For Third Quarter Fiscal 2015; Board Of Directors Declares Regular Cash Dividend

Astro-Med Reports Strong Results For Third Quarter Fiscal 2015; Board Of Directors Declares Regular Cash Dividend

 Net Sales of $23.1 Million, Up 27.3% from Q3 FY 2014 Gross Margin of 43.9%, Up 340 Basis Points from Q3 FY 2014 Operating Margin of 11.1%, Up 460 Basis Points from Q3 FY 2014 Diluted EPS of $0.20, Up from $0.14 in Q3 FY 2014 Company Completes Integration of Miltope Acquisition WEST WARWICK, R.I.–(BUSINESS […]
What, Me Worry Wednesday – Thanksgiving Edition

What, Me Worry Wednesday – Thanksgiving Edition

Let’s not worry. We’re in the midst of a fantastic bull run so why ruin it with rational thinking?  Barry Ritholtz used to be a rational guy but now he shills for Bloomberg (#8 on the Forbes 400 with $35Bn) and posts things like “Current Dow rally below average in both duration and magnitude” in […]
Dow Theory “Breakouts” To Be Thankful For

Dow Theory “Breakouts” To Be Thankful For

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE   What are you “Thankful For?” This is a great time of year to count our blessings and become more aware of things we should be thankful for. I am thankful for many things, too many to list and bore you with right now. When it comes to Thank You’s […]
Estimating US Recession Risk Isn’t Getting Any Easier

Estimating US Recession Risk Isn’t Getting Any Easier

Clarity is a virtue when it comes to the business cycle. It’s also unusual. The US is an exception, or at least it has been, according to Scott Sumner, an economist at Bentley University and a prolific blogger on macro matters. “The US has a really weird economy,” he writes. “All our recessions are 100% clear-cut. Either […]