ECB Preview: EUR/USD Rally To Unravel On Wait-And-See Approach
Jul 20, 2017
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
– European Central Bank (ECB) to Preserve Zero-Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP). – Will the Governing Council Start to Taper the Asset-Purchase Program? The European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision may initially trigger a bearish reaction in EUR/USD as President Mario Draghi is widely expected to retain the highly accommodative policy stance. Why Is This Event Important: With the ECB in […]
Bank Of Japan Leaves Policy Unchanged As Expected – Admits Defeat On Deflation
Jul 20, 2017
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Japan’s long and sordid dance with unconventional monetary policy continues. With most analysts expecting a ‘nothingburger’ from Kuroda (though some hinting at the potential for shock-and-awe), The BOJ delivered… nothing – no change. However, most critically, the BOJ admitted defeat of deflation and delayed the timing of reaching their 2% inflation goal to around FY2019. No change to […]
Tesla Initiated With A Neutral At Citi
Jul 20, 2017
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Citi analyst Itay Michael started Tesla shares with a Neutral rating and $357 price target. The shares closed yesterday down $2.98 to $325.26. The analyst is positive on Tesla’s position as the “car of the future leader,” and thinks upside from current levels could “still be significant,” but he prefers to wait for a better […]
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Around The World Consumers Are Becoming More Optimistic
Jul 20, 2017
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Among the advanced economies slow and steady growth has been accompanied by noticeable improvements in consumer confidence. The aggregate confidence indexes for a broad number of OECD and non-OECD countries are roughly back to former, pre-recession highs. In March, the U.S. consumer confidence index rose to its highest level in 16 years. The large economies […]
Trading The ECB With EUR/USD – 3 Opinions
Jul 20, 2017
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
The European Central Bank convenes today and would like to refrain from rocking the boat. In our preview, we discussed a potential desire by Draghi to drag the euro down. Can he do that? Here are previews from three banks, taking different approaches to trading the event with EUR/USD. Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: […]
DXY Elliott Wave View: Bounce In Progress
Jul 20, 2017
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Short term DXY (USD Index) Elliott Wave view suggests the decline from 6/20 peak (97.87) is unfolding as a Zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from 97.87 high, decline to 95.47 ended Minor wave A, and bounce to 96.51 high ended Minor wave B. Wave C is unfolding as an Elliott wave Impulse structure with extension where Minute wave ((i)) ended […]
ECB Game Day
Jul 20, 2017
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
The US dollar is enjoying a firmer tone against the major currencies today. It does not appear to be simply position adjustments ahead of the ECB meeting. Consider that Australia reported strong employment data, and after making new highs, reaching almost $0.8000, it has reversed to toy with yesterday’s low. A convincing break of that […]
Here’s The True Definition Of A Recession — It’s Not About GDP
Jul 20, 2017
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), the institution that dates the peaks and troughs of the business cycles, A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales. A recession […]
Offshore Money Is Pouring Into This Country At The Fastest Pace In 5 Years
Jul 20, 2017
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Over the past week or two, we’ve been trying to drive home what we think is a very simple point: namely that investors seem to be grossly underestimating the risk associated with the following visual… See why that’s disconcerting? But apparently, no one is paying attention, because the KOSPI continues to hit new record highs […]
4 REIT Plays With Beat Potential In Q2 Earnings
Jul 20, 2017
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Huge profits and earnings surprises can lure you this earnings season. But rather than accumulating stocks later, investing in those that are yet to release their numbers and poised to beat expectations can fetch you more gains. This is because an earnings beat essentially serves as a catalyst and raises investors’ confidence in a stock. […]