U.S. Cash Deficit March 2016
Apr 06, 2016
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
The U.S. Cash Deficit for March came in at $98B easily topping last March’s $18B deficit and bringing the 2016 YTD deficit to $272B. Revenue: Revenue was down $35B from last year, which had a $35B inflow from the wireless spectrum auction. So all together flat, with some increases and decreases cancelling each other out. […]
S&P 500 And Nasdaq 100 Forecast – April 6, 2016
Apr 06, 2016
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
S&P 500 The S&P 500 fell during the course of the day on Tuesday, testing the 2040 handle. The market has seen support there previously, so it’s very likely that it will find a bit of support there again. I think that the market will eventually rally due to the fact that the Federal Reserve […]
Tesla Motors Inc. Over $250 Again – Not Fundamentals
Apr 06, 2016
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Tesla (TSLA) is over $250 per share – again.And again for no clear fundamental reason. The Model S shares have not exceeded projections and the Model X has fallen short. But there is a wild card – the Model 3.Or more accurately the Model 3 prototype. What does it take to justify a value of […]
The Slowdown Downgrades The ‘New Normal’ But Not (Yet) All ‘Stimulus’
Apr 06, 2016
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
The only common factor on the economy viewed from the mainstream in the past few years is the shrinking standards by which it is judged. Janet Yellen can somehow suggest erratic 2% GDP growth is “overheating” or close to it only because that is the reduction of the “new normal.” Because that has been so […]
4 Great Long Term Momentum Charts For Volatile Markets
Apr 06, 2016
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Volatility has eased in recent weeks, but it’s still up in the air (at least, for now). Markets simply do not become quiet right away, it takes time for trend changes to take place. Best case, today’s market is transitioning from very volatile to “simply” volatile before becoming bullish. Worst case, the market took a breather lately, and […]
After The Storm, FOMC Minutes Eyed
Apr 06, 2016
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Markets are calmer with some better than expected figures for the US and Chinese services sectors as well as a bounce for oil. Apart from the more important oil report, we’ll have the Fed minutes high on the agenda and late in the day. While the document is from a meeting held three weeks ago, […]
Jeff Bezos Letter Better Than Warren Buffett’s?
Apr 06, 2016
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Buffett’s annual letters are the gold standard, but close behind is Jeff Bezos. In typical Jeff Bezos style, the annual letter is brief, to the point and packs a punch. A must read for any business minded person or Amazon investor. Bezos is undoubtedly one of the elite minds in business and he provides a glimpse into […]
The Australian Dollar Has Become Too Strong – Reserve Bank Of Australia
Apr 06, 2016
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
“The Australian dollar has appreciated somewhat recently. In part, this reflects some increase in commodity prices, but monetary developments elsewhere in the world have also played a role. Under present circumstances,an appreciating exchange rate could complicate the adjustment under way in the economy.” – Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision, April 5, 2016 (emphasis […]
This Stock Is Rising – No Matter What Amazon Does
Apr 06, 2016
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Amazon.com Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN) wants to be more – much more – than just the King of E-commerce. The Seattle-based company used its huge servers to build Amazon Web Services into the globe’s largest cloud-computing company. And Amazon Prime, while not the leader in streaming media, is definitely a contender. Now, Amazon has sets its sights on global shipping and logistics. […]
University Professor Asks: How Accurate And At What Cost Is BLS Data?
Apr 06, 2016
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Here’s the interesting set of questions from the “Mish Mailbag” summarized as follows: How Accurate and at What Cost is BLS Data? Why isn’t there a private industry alternative?” The questions are from reader “Trevor”, a grad student, forwarded from his professor. When I first read the questions, I thought they were about jobs because […]