Category Archive: Finance, No picture
Gold Prices Vulnerable To Sticky U.S Core CPI, Retail Sales
Fundamental Forecast for Gold: Bearish GOLD TALKING POINTS: Gold struggles to retain the advance from the 2018-low ($1160) as the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report sparks a bullish reaction in the dollar, and the current environment keeps the precious metal at risk for further losses as the Federal Reserve appears to be on course to implement higher interest […]
China’s Trade Surplus With US Hits Record High As Export Growth Declines
US trade data with China makes it increasingly likely Trump will increase tariffs on China. Bloomberg reports China Trade Outlook Darkens as Trump Threatens Total Tariffs. Trade data for August released Saturday echoed both the cause and effect of the standoff with the U.S. — the surplus with the U.S. rose to a record, while overall […]
Bull Trap Or Bullsh*t
Excluding the performance of the Brazilian stock market which rallied almost 3% for the week, global equities including US equities were down, led by the NASDQ 100 at -2.78 %. A failed assassination attempt of a presidential hopeful seemed to be the catalyst for the move in Brazil, bucking the trend of the global markets. […]
Weekly Economic And Political Timeline – Sunday, Sept. 9
This week is likely to see a good amount of activity in the market. It will probably be dominated by central bank input for the British Pound and the Euro, as well as a slew of key British economic data and an important U.S. inflation release. The market is likely to be most active on Thursday. […]
USD/JPY Forecast Sept. 10-14 – Is Risk Off Taking Off?
Dollar/yen was unable to hold onto its gains as dollar strength was substituted by a risk-off atmosphere that benefits the Japanese yen. Tariffs remain in the limelight but we also have US inflation and retail sales in the mix. USD/JPY fundamental movers The deadline for public comments on the tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods ended. […]
Will The Stock Market Crash?
This short video covers why I think the S&P 500 Futures and SPX are expensive relative to Emerging Market stocks, and why Emerging Market stocks might be the catalyst to the next stock market crash.
Emerging Markets: Preview For The Week Of Sept.10
EM FX ended Friday on a mixed note, with TRY and ARS leading the gains. However, the jobs data supports our view that the Fed is likely to continue hiking rates, which is negative for EM. Furthermore, trade tensions will remain high after the US announced plans to slap tariffs on an additional $267 billion […]
Weekly Fundamental Forecast: The Week Ends With Raised Trade War Threats Fom Trump, ECB And BoE Rate Decisions Ahead
Fundamental traders are finding it difficult to determine exactly what to keep tabs on for generating volatility in the markets. Is the escalation of the US-led trade war with another $267 billion tariff threat on China and not-so-subtle threat to pull Japan in more market-moving than scheduled events like the ECB and BoE rate decisions? […]
Q&A: SEC Trying To Improve Private Market Access; Bitcoin Mining
Q: Hi, Andy. Is it true that the SEC wants to give retail investors more access to private markets? I mean, it sounds good. Could you tell me what that could mean for me? A: Great question. This is a pet peeve of mine. The SEC has opened up private pre-IPO investing only a crack in recent […]
This Week In Stocks – Sunday, Sept. 9
Our analysis of the S&P 500 (SPX) is for stocks to continue to roll over. Last week, the SPX fell into our support zone, of which the bottom is 2846. While we still see that support holding, our question is how long the period of risk will continue. While we believe the near-term will bring […]
