Category Archive: Finance, No picture
How Much Of Your Portfolio Should You Keep In Cash?
At some point, I am going to retire, so I wanted to calculate how much of my portfolio I should put into cash in order to protect myself against sequence-of-returns risk. If you’re withdrawing monthly from a portfolio that’s partially invested in equities and a bear market comes along, you’ll run out of money a […]
Interest Rate Breakout? Probably
It looked to be a breakout a few months ago but the argument for it is better now. Will it last? Probably but things are a bit overheated right now. Video Length: 00:05:04
3 Best Japan Mutual Funds To Buy In October
Japan’s economic output surpassed its full capacity, per a Bank of Japan (BOJ) estimate. Moreover, the output gap for the April-June quarter is highest since the October-December quarter of 2007. Moreover, in the second quarter of 2018, Japan’s economy expanded at its fastest pace in over two years. The world’s third-largest economy registered expansion after […]
Surefire Way To Reduce The Trade Deficit: Have A Recession
Trump is desperate to reduce the trade deficit. Perhaps his trade policies will do just that, via global recession. A prolonged global trade war will add fuel to a nasty global recession. But look at the bright side. It’s a surefire way to reduce imports more than exports. The bigger the recession, the bigger Trump’s […]
Treasury Snapshot: 10-Year Yield At 3.23%
Note: We’ve updated this commentary with data through Friday’s market close. Let’s take a closer look at recent activity in US Treasuries. The yield on the 10-year note ended Friday at 3.23% and the 30-year bond closed at 3.40%. The 2-10 yield spread is now at 0.24%. Here is a table showing the yields highs […]
BTC/USD Forex Signal – Monday, Oct. 8
Last Thursday’s signals were not triggered, as the bullish price action took place a little below the support level at $6,534. Today’s BTC/USD Signals Risk 0.75% per trade. Trades may only be taken until 5pm Tokyo time, during the next 24-hour period. Long Trades Go long after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time […]
An Interest Rate Generational Low
Interest Rates Being a trader for as long as I have been, provides me with a sense of historical significance not possible for newcomers to market speculation. I distinctly remember the high-interest rate periods of the 1970s and early 1980s. In fact, I remember the day the top of yields (and bottom of futures) was confirmed […]
5 Stocks To Gain From 49-Year Low Unemployment Rate
The jobless rate dipped two-tenths of a percentage point to 3.7% in September and touched its lowest level in nearly 50 years. Further, the initial job counts for August and July were revised substantially upward. The American economy is enjoying historical growth amid escalating trade tensions between the Republican administration and overseas countries, including China. […]
The Toxic Stew
Last week, we shined a spotlight on a crack in the monetary system that few people outside of Switzerland (and not many inside either) were aware of. There is permanent gold backwardation measured in Swiss francs. Everyone knows that the Swiss franc has a negative interest rate, but so far as we know, Keith is the only […]
Unemployment Falls To 49-Year Low: 5 Business Services Picks
In September, the unemployment rate declined to its lowest level in nearly 49 years. However, job additions came in significantly below expectations, even though the broader employment picture remained robust. Further, even though September’s numbers missed targets, the figures for July and August were revised upward. Also, the labor force participation rate remained unchanged. Meanwhile, […]
