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Oil Q4 Forecast: Global Oil Demand In Question As OPEC Output Falters And US Shale Booms

Oil Q4 Forecast: Global Oil Demand In Question As OPEC Output Falters And US Shale Booms

The outlook for global growth has been called into question in recent months as emerging markets bow under external pressures and developed economies engage in trade wars. On top of its already-enacted $250 billion tab, the US is weighing a further $267 billion in tariffs on China. The Trump administration has also suggested it may […]
The Real Truth Behind Stock Buybacks

The Real Truth Behind Stock Buybacks

It’s time to separate fact from fiction when it comes to stock buy backs. With over $1 trillion in stock buy backs this year, the most since 2007, many traders don’t know the crucial buyback rules. 
The Big Four Economic Indicators: Real Personal Income In August

The Big Four Economic Indicators: Real Personal Income In August

Note: This commentary has been updated to include Friday’s release of the August data for Real Personal Income Less Transfer Receipts. Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. This committee statement is about as close as they get […]
Why Is JP Morgan Stacking Tons Of Silver?

Why Is JP Morgan Stacking Tons Of Silver?

Many people have asked me for more news in regards to JP Morgan & this massive accumulations of silver. More evidence, coming from higher-ups at JP Morgan themselves, as to why silver, and gold, is a solid hedge against nations like China and Russia in their actions against the US Dollar.
Mortgage Rates Highest Since Early 2011: Fed Could Push US Into Recession

Mortgage Rates Highest Since Early 2011: Fed Could Push US Into Recession

The 15-year average mortgage rate is 4.22%. The 30-year rate is 4.72%. These are the highest rates since early 2011. Bleakley Advisory Group’s Peter Boockvar says the Fed and Global Central Banks Could Push the U.S. into Recession. Mortgage Rates Highest Since Early 2011   Mortgage News Daily sees things slightly differently but the the disagreement […]
Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 1 And 8

Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 1 And 8

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.         Forecast Prior Observation Consensus   Week of October 1         October 1         ISM (Mfg) – Sept 59.8 61.3 59.9   Construction Spending – August 0.5% 0.1 0.5             October 2   […]
SPX Cycles Imply A Decline Through Early November

SPX Cycles Imply A Decline Through Early November

  VIX closed beneath Short-term resistance at 12.60, leaving it on a sell signal for a third week in a row. It appears to be in a holding pattern for the end of the quarter. However, the Cycles Model shows a likely surge in strength for the VIX through late October. (MarketWatch)  Stock-market investors should […]
Euro Q4 Forecast: Euro Stabilization In Q3 May Offer Base For A Rally In Q4

Euro Q4 Forecast: Euro Stabilization In Q3 May Offer Base For A Rally In Q4

After persistent selling in the second quarter, the Euro was able to stabilize through the third quarter. Contributing to that balance was the market’s belief of resolution – at least, on the path to resolution – for concerns over the region’s growth, the trajectory of European Central Bank monetary policy, and the budgetary plans of […]
Fed And Italy Lift Dollar Tone

Fed And Italy Lift Dollar Tone

We had anticipated that the dollar’s downside correction against the European currencies was over or nearly so and looked for the dollar to find better traction. The Dollar Index held above the previous week’s low. The euro’s high for the week was recorded on Monday near $1.1815. With the weight of Brexit, sterling was unable […]
Week In Review: Agilent Pays $250 Million To Acquire ACEA And Its Cell Therapy Analyzer

Week In Review: Agilent Pays $250 Million To Acquire ACEA And Its Cell Therapy Analyzer

ACEA Biosciences, a San Diego company with R&D and manufacturing facilities in Hangzhzou, will be acquired by Agilent (NYSE: A) for $250 million in cash (see story). ACEA has developed the xCELLigence® cell therapy analysis device intended for academic and biopharma researchers. The device is used in immuno-oncology, pre-clinical drug discovery and basic academic research. In 2015, […]