Category Archive: Finance, No picture
2018 Global Market Outlook – Q4 Update: Maximum Pressure
Synopsis Trade wars, the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), China stimulus and the direction of the U.S. dollar dominate our near-term outlook. At this juncture, U.S. recession risks appear low. We believe that European growth can improve over the next couple of quarters. We view emerging markets as oversold but see a bounce as dependent on the […]
Markets Reject Fed Rate Hike
Stocks sell-off after the Fed rate hike and change in language in their statement. The Fed dropped the phrase that its policy remains “accommodative.” Video Length: 00:10:30
Foolish Nature Of Picking Winners: Trump’s Tariffs Cost Ford $1 Billion
The CEO of Ford says Trump’s tariffs on metals cost the company $1 billion. Who won? According to Ford’s CEO, Trump’s Tariffs on Metals Costs Ford $1 Billion. “From Ford’s perspective the metals tariffs took about $1 billion in profit from us”, CEO James Hackett said at a Bloomberg conference in New York, “The irony of […]
Medical Equipment ETF (XHE) Added To Tactical Sleeves
ETFs with solid momentum are currently focused on tech, health care and small-cap. Only 18 of 2051 ETFs passed our momentum screening filter rules. We further subjectively evaluated quantitative and qualitative data for the 18 and selected medical equipment ETF XHE as an addition to our tactical sleeve. The filter we use to select ETFs […]
Vehicle Miles Traveled: Another Look At Our Evolving Behavior – Tuesday, Sept. 26
The Department of Transportation’s Federal Highway Commission has released the latest report on Traffic Volume Trends, data through August. “Travel on all roads and streets changed by +0.3% (+0.8 billion vehicle miles) for July 2018 as compared with July 2017. Travel for the month is estimated to be 288.1 billion vehicle miles”. The 12-month moving average was […]
Impossible Hawks
On December 8, 1940, Winston Churchill wrote to Franklin Roosevelt. The situation was indeed grim, France having fallen to the Germans and the United Kingdom pushed right off Continental Europe. Defeats in the Pacific were some of the worst in the long history of the British Nation. The battle was now raging over English skies, […]
Fed Hikes Rates Again In Slam-Dunk Decision. Could A Trade War Derail Future Raises?
The U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) raised interest rates again today, marking its eighth hike for the expansion. This was a slam-dunk decision—fiscal stimulus has pushed U.S. GDP (gross domestic product) growth rates well above the economy’s long-term potential, the unemployment rate is hovering near a 50-year low1 and core inflation is within a rounding error […]
Margin Debt And The Market – Tuesday, Sept. 26
Note: The NYSE has suspended their NYSE Member Firm margin data as of December 2017. We have replaced our Margin Debt data with FINRA data, which includes data for all firms, not just NYSE member firms. The New York Stock Exchange previously published end-of-month data for margin debt on the NYX data website, including historical data going […]
ETFs Set To Benefit/Lose From Higher Brent Prices
Oil price rallied with global benchmark Brent breaching $82 per barrel, the highest since November 2014. The increase came after Saudi Arabia and Russia refused to increase production to offset falling Iranian oil exports in a meeting in Algiers on Sep 23. The United States is expected to re-impose sanctions on Iran starting Nov 4. […]
Fed Hikes 1/4 Point As Expected: Dot Plot Indicates One More 2018 Hike Coming
In its FOMC statement, the Fed says the economy continues to strengthen, unemployment is low, and spending is strong. The Fed hiked rates a quarter point to a range of 2.00% to 2.25%. Here is the FOMC Statement. Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August indicates that the labor market has continued […]
