Category Archive: Finance, No picture
Policy Uncertainty, VIX, 5 Year Breakevens, Dollar Up
Image Source: UnsplashSince the election:Figure 1: EPU (blue, left scale), 7 day centered moving average (bold red, left scale), VIX (green, right scale). Source: policyuncertainty.com, CBOE via FRED, author’s calculations. Figure 2: Five year Treasury-TIPS spread, % (black, left scale), log Fed dollar index relative, 11/5/2024 = 0 (red, right scale). Source: Treasury, Federal Reserve via FRED, author’s calculations.More […]
This Bull-Trap Could Be Our Biggest Win Of The Week
Image Source: Unsplash Weekend’s over… back to work! Markets just made a strong pop higher into the close this afternoon…Combine that with a very bearish 60min chart, and it’s easy to see why this Bull Trap might be our easiest winner of the week!Keep in mind… Bull Traps come with lots of variations to them…Here are […]
Investors Cautiously Capitalized On Market Dips
Image Source: UnsplashAfter the S&P 500 index dramatically wiped out almost all its post-election gains, rattled by a bond market spooked by soaring inflation and climbing interest rates, the downturn was further fueled by President-elect Donald Trump’s aggressive economic agenda. Investors cautiously dipped back into the market in this volatile environment, sensing an opportunity. This sparked […]
Stocks And Precious Metals Charts – The Cycle Of Force And Fraud
Image Source: UnsplashAnd the wash and rinse continues.I came in prepped for the post-Non-Farm Payrolls kickback wash cycle.Gold and silver were slammed this morning. The Dollar gained a little in a mostly sideways chop.VIX fell.Stocks fell sharply but managed to take back their losses into the afternoon close.Keep an eye on the option expirations and the upcoming […]
The Market Is Waking To A Crude Inflationary Reality
Image Source: Unsplash Our hearts go out to the people impacted by the wildfires in Los Angeles. The human cost has already been staggering, with at least 24 dead and as many as 100,000 forced to flee their homes.We don’t yet know the final financial toll, but as traders, we can already see signs in the […]
How To Stop Overtrading Short-Term Options
Image Source: Unsplash As options traders, we are working with a limited timeline. We may hold options that expire in a day, a few weeks, or a couple of months. Option decay is our enemy. We lose value if our positions are not moving – literally from the start of the trade. This creates fear, and […]
Why Main Street Capital Is The Best BDC
Image Source: Unsplash Main Street Capital (MAIN) usually sports the lowest yield and largest premium to NAV. Investors ask me why I recommend Main Street Capital with such a low yield compared to other BDCs and why I am willing to pay such a premium for the shares.As a start, based on its regular monthly dividend, Main […]
Trump’s presidency set to kickstart with crypto-focused executive orders
Key Takeaways Trump to issue crypto-focused executive orders on first day of presidency, reshaping US blockchain policy. Trump’s presidency is expected to usher in major policy shifts benefiting tech and crypto industries, with figures like Marc Andreesen and David Sacks influencing its direction. Share this article President-elect Donald Trump’s administration is set to prioritize the […]
China’s Trade Surplus Hit A Record High In 2024
Image Source: Unsplash Exports end the year on a strong note China’s December export growth rebounded to 10.7% year-on-year from 6.7% YoY in November, beating consensus forecasts. December saw USD335.6bn of exports, bringing the full year exports to USD3.58tr, which was good for a 5.9% YoY growth rate and comfortably higher than what most economists were […]
Aerospace And Defense Stocks To Watch: The Biggest U.S. Contractors By Revenue
Image Source: Unsplash The aerospace and defense industry plays a pivotal role not just in national security but also the stock market. With U.S. defense spending leading the world, the largest contractors are well-positioned for growth amid rising global tensions.Below, I rank the top 10 largest U.S. contractors by defense revenue, using 2024 data from Defense News. I […]
