Category Archive: Finance, No picture
U.S. Q4 GDP Growth Expected To Support Soft Landing Outlook
This month’s official report of US fourth-quarter economic activity, scheduled for release on Jan. 25, will likely confirm that output expanded at a moderate pace, according to a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.The US Bureau of Economic Analysis is projected to report that growth slowed to a 1.6% gain (seasonally adjusted annual rate), which […]
Jobs Up 216,000 But Employment Down 683,000 Job Revisions -71,000
Payroll and Employment Data from the BLS, chart by MishFrom September 2020 through early 2022, nonfarm payroll job gains and full time employment changes tracked together.Starting around March of 2022, a divergence between employment and jobs became very noticeable.Payrolls vs Employment Gains Since March 2023 Nonfarm Payrolls: 1,760,000 Employment Level: +359,000 Full Time Employment: -1,091,000 […]
Chart Of The Week: ISM Services Employment Collapse
This is a chart that people will be talking about for a long time now. This shows the ISM Services Employment Index. Services have been extremely strong for the last few years and it’s been a consistent bright spot in the economy. It’s been so strong that it’s forced the Fed to reconsider their position […]
Job Report Shocker Feels Likes Stagflation
Image Source: Pixabay The December job report was much hotter than expected but had a stagflation-like feel when digging deeper into the numbers.Video Length: 00:06:11More By This Author:Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold, The Jobs Report Needs To Be Just RightDecember Job Report Spells Trouble For Rate Cut Optimism Stocks Fall On January 3, 2024, As […]
Softs Report – Friday, Jan. 5
COTTON General Comments: Cotton closed lower yesterday in sideways trading. Demand for US Cotton in the export market has improved over the last couple of months and was very strong last week. The US economic data has been positive, but the Chinese economic data has not been real positive and demand has been down. There […]
Oil In The Middle East Sparks Market Surge
Image Source: Unsplash As global tensions escalate in the Middle East, the oil market is experiencing a surge in prices, with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s efforts to quell the Israel-Gaza conflict in the spotlight. The region’s ever-present specter of conflict has once again pushed Middle East oil to the forefront of global economic concerns, […]
What Happened To Ab Inbev Stock After The Mulvaney Crisis?
AB InBev (BUD) stock price had a difficult performance in 2023 as the company went through a public relations disaster, leading to massive boycotts in the US. At the time, the company’s flagship product, Bud Light, lost its market share to Modelo, owned by Grupo Modelo, a company that AB InBev owns.As a result, the […]
US Market Commentary – Friday, Jan. 5
Image source: Pixabay US Jobs Rise AgainThe latest set of jobs data out of the US today has added further pause for thought for those projecting near-term US rate cuts. With the headline NFP figure printing 216k vs 168k expected, the US economy is proving to be more resilient than many were expecting over recent months. […]
December Jobs Report: Consistent With A “Soft Landing,” Despite Discordance In Household Data
Image Source: DepositPhotos My focus remains on whether jobs gains are most consistent with a “soft landing,” i.e., no further deterioration, or whether deceleration is ongoing; and more specifically: Whether there is further deceleration in jobs gains compared with the last 6 month average Whether the unemployment rate is neutral or decreasing; or whether there is […]
Current Analysis: Suncor Energy (SU)
Image Source: DepositPhotosSuncor Energy Inc (SU) is an integrated energy company.The company’s 4 operations include (1) oil sands development, production and upgrading, (2) offshore oil and gas, (3) petroleum refining in Canada and the U.S., and (4) the company’s Petro-Canada retail and wholesale distribution networks.The company is developing petroleum resources while advancing the transition to […]
