Bitcoin Price Soars To $13,000 In Desperate Zimbabwe

Bitcoin Price Soars To $13,000 In Desperate Zimbabwe

We noted in June that Zimbabwe’s cash crisis continued unabated. Those awaiting cash transfers at a bank may wait a month to be cleared and, even then, the transfer may be refused. The Standard, Zimbabwe’s leading Sunday newspaper, ran an article at the time entitled, “Black market thrives, as banks run dry.” Some highlights from that article: HARARE’S […]
Inflation Rising From The Ashes

Inflation Rising From The Ashes

It might not be much of a rise but inflation clearly picked up for the month of October at the producer level. It rose a strong .4% matching last month’s when expectations were for a much smaller number of .1%. Stripping out food and energy it still rose .2%. These numbers pushed inflation to 2.8% […]
The Big Four Economic Indicators: October Real Retail Sales

The Big Four Economic Indicators: October Real Retail Sales

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. This committee statement is about as close as they get to identifying their method. There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs […]
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                        Disconcerting News On The Wage Front

E Disconcerting News On The Wage Front

Today’s release of U.S. data on wages growth for October should give the Federal Reserve members some pause for concern when they meet in December. In nominal (current dollars) terms, wages have moved up a modest 2.4 % over the past 12 months. Economists prefer to measure wage performance in real terms— discounted for the […]
Gold Commentary – Recapping This Year And Revisiting Our Outlook For 2018

Gold Commentary – Recapping This Year And Revisiting Our Outlook For 2018

(Audio length 00:13:12) Doc keeps a very close eye on the gold charts and has been updating us on his longer term outlook. We revisit the moves and comment on this year’s performance for gold with a look ahead to 2018. We also address what could get the market moving.
Are The Ultra-Rich Predicting A Stock Market Swoon?

Are The Ultra-Rich Predicting A Stock Market Swoon?

I readily acknowledge that I know precious little about the world of art. In fact, I would struggle to distinguish Picasso from Velazquez, Van Gogh from Monet, or DaVinci from Rembrandt. On the other hand, my brain has retained a bit of knowledge about several artists for one reason or another. Not only did I […]
Hedge Fund Factor Exposure & Alternatives

Hedge Fund Factor Exposure & Alternatives

Summary: Equity hedge fund returns have been disappointing over the last 14 years An exposure analysis shows no structural factor exposure, but frequent factor rotation Multi-factor long-short products are an interesting alternative, depending on the fee level INTRODUCTION Hedge fund assets reached an all-time high in 2017 with $3.3 trillion under management. Although returns were […]
Gold’s Long-Term Analogies

Gold’s Long-Term Analogies

A daily rally in gold, daily decline, daily turnaround and other daily price developments are both interesting and dangerous. Interesting, because nothing is as exciting as a big intraday move. Dangerous, because they can make one too emotional about a given trading position and lose the focus on the big picture (forgetting about the forest by […]
3 Top-Ranked Pioneer Mutual Funds To Buy Now

3 Top-Ranked Pioneer Mutual Funds To Buy Now

Pioneer Investments, which was founded 87 years ago, provides diverse investment products to its clients. In July 2017, Pioneer Investments was acquired by Amundi, Europe’s biggest asset manager. As of Sep 30, 2017, Amundi together with Pioneer Investments had more than 1.4 trillion euros of assets under management. It has investment hubs in London, Milan, Boston, […]
As Amazon Threat To Netflix May Lessen, Apple Viewed As Possible New Competitor

As Amazon Threat To Netflix May Lessen, Apple Viewed As Possible New Competitor

Amazon (AMZN) has scrapped plans to launch an online streaming service bundling broadcast and cable networks, according to media reports, with The Verge saying that the e-commerce giant has also denied that it is developing a free, ad-supported version of Prime Video. While this may lessen the threat to Netflix (NFLX), some now predict that […]