It’s Not Inflation But Deflation That’s The Real Threat To Our Economy
Image Source: Pexels Recession fears seem to have faded from the headlines, as the “no landing” scenario seems to have won out — on Wall Street at least.Attention is much more focused on a possible boost to economic growth from the policies of the new Trump administration, as well as concern that inflation could prove stickier […]
Tariffs Will Not Make America Great Again
Image Source: Pexels Making it harder to do business with Americans is not the way to help domestic workers, small businesses, and everyone else in middle America who has been getting ripped off under our current political system.Video Length: 00:09:51More By This Author:Should Inflation Be Defined Only As Price Increases? Historical Test Cases Of Tariffs And […]
Do Active Funds Outperform In Less-Efficient Markets?
Active managers sometimes tout their ability to select stocks in markets that are considered less informationally efficient and those that offer larger rewards to successful stock pickers. Smaller companies and those in emerging markets are typically presented as examples. What are the grounds for debate, and what do over 20 years of SPIVA® Scorecards tell us about the historical record?First, […]
Stocks And Precious Metals Charts – The Dollar Weakened
Stocks attempted to extend their post FOMC rally today, but were primarily successful in the morning, with the bright optimism of better things ahead fading into the close.The Dollar weakened.Gold and silver both rallied impressively, breaking through overhead resistance with authority.Again, the vault reports from Hong Kong contain little additional information except that bullion levels […]
How We Can Trade On GDP
Image Source: Pexels Gross domestic product is the single broadest, cleanest measure of the health and growth of the economy.The number we got today missed the forecast and came in significantly worse than the previous quarter, to boot.How big was the miss? Big – 3.1% during the previous quarter down to 2.3% today.But, there’s a major […]
Bitcoin Hits $105,820.58 Amidst Growing Institutional Adoption, Texas Seeks BTC Reserve
Image courtesy of 123rf.com With a current price of $105,820.58, Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a 2.03% increase in its value, further solidifying its position as a dominant force. Meanwhile, major financial institutions and governments are exploring new ways to integrate Bitcoin and blockchain technologies into the traditional financial system, enhancing the connection between decentralized and established financial frameworks. […]
What Are The Odds The Fed Follows Trump’s Demand For Lower Interest Rates?
My how things have changed.In October, the market expected a rate cut in December and another one in January and half of one in March.There were no cuts in December and January. And now there’s only a 17 percent chance for March. Budget Busting PromisesTwo-and-a-half rate cuts that were priced in have since flown out […]
Why The ECB’s Lagarde Is Looking Out The Window But Could Soon Be Rushing For The Door
Today’s ECB conference following its decision to cut rates by 25bp signalled a clear intent to lower rates further. They’re still in restrictive territory, and reaching neutral seems like the next stop – but not necessarily the final one. We think Lagarde’s position on the lookout for economic developments could very well turn into a […]
Dow Nabs Triple-Digit Pop Ahead Of Apple Earnings
Investors spent most of the day digesting a fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) reading that missed expectations, in addition to several megacap earnings reports. The wave of big names announcing quarterly results is far from over, with Apple (AAPL), Intel (INTC), and Visa (V) slated to report after the close. All three indexes marked healthy wins, […]
Economy Slows To A 2.3% Growth Rate In Q4, Consumer Still Strong
We got our first estimate of Q4 GDP this morning. Gross Domestic Product adjusted for inflation (or real GDP) came in at $23.5 trillion in Q4. While nominal GDP came in at $29.7 trillion. The economy is now 12.1% larger than the pre-COVID peak in inflation adjusted dollars. This represents a 2.3% annualized growth rate […]
