Well, the message from Yellen was heard loud and clear and amusingly, so was the message from Stephen Poloz. In fact, you’d be forgiven for thinking they coordinated to make sure one offset the other. The BoC hiked, as expected, but “expected” is a relative term here. Because the whole abrupt shift in rhetoric that culminated in […]

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Did The Fed just step in to replace the Trump premium as Junior’s email dashes hopes of tax breaks further? Timing is certainly interesting… Equities and Treasuries rose and the dollar sank after markets interpreted Chair Yellen’s testimony before Congress as dovish even as it echoed the most recent FOMC statement. The rally was aided as […]

USD/JPY has been riding the tiger in recent weeks: climbing off 108.80 all the way to 114.50 at a fast clip. The 600+ pip move higher took less than a month. On its way, the pair made symbolic drops to mark a line of uptrend support, which was quite steep. The momentum was strong enough […]

It is hypocritical, I suppose, to claim that Janet Yellen is irrelevant while at the same time constantly writing about the oblivious things she says. The Fed doesn’t matter but we need to obsessively focus on monetary policy anyway. Often the reasoning is upside down. By that I mean, we hope that by highlighting how […]