The U.S. dollar has become the world’s largest fiat currency experiment ever. Not only is it the world’s reserve currency, but numerous other nations have either adopted it as their own, used it to peg their own currency, or widely accept it to settle transactions. Interest rates, precious metals, agricultural products, and energy are all […]

In the recent past, I have discussed global slowdown and potential recession in several articles. I also discussed in one of my recent articles that the GDPNow indicator from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta estimates GDP growth for 1Q16 at 1.4% (March 24, 2016 estimate). The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta has released new estimates (March […]

Let’s start with the US economy where we continue to see debate around the trajectory of inflation rates.  The Fed economists view the core PCE price index as the most important inflation indicator for the US. And on Monday that measure came in softer than forecast. This plays into Janet Yellen’s recent skepticism about the […]

For the first time since January 2009, 12-month Saudi Interbank rates have breached 2.00% – double the 1% lows of August.   This ‘stress’ is also evident in the record pace of collapse of Saudi money-supply.    While Riyal forwards have rallied back from extreme bets on devaluation, they remain concerning for Saudi officials who to undertake […]

A momentum strategy is a favorite approach for many investors out there. Who doesn’t like the idea of buying a surging stock or ETF and riding it to even bigger gains? However, in uncertain market environments, like we find ourselves in today, you need to consider safety too. Equities have been extremely volatile as of […]