GDPNow 1st Quarter Forecast Plunges To 1.3% Following Vehicle Sales And Factory Orders Reports
The GDPNow Model forecast for 1st quarter 2017 GDP plunged 0.5 percentage points to 1.3% following recent economic data. Today’s dismal trade data was not a factor. Advance trade data on February 28 showed the trade deficit in goods jumped 7.6% to $69.2 billion, and that data was already factored into the model. The reason […]
This Is Now Germany’s Longest Bull Market Ever
Ironic on a day when German macro data collapses, the DAX just closed on its bull market’s 8th birthday… for the first time ever. DAX is up 151% off its 2009 lows, S&P up 248%… h/t @Schuldensuehner And German 10Y Bund yields have collapsed from 3.00% to 32bps…
Making The Most Of Your Alpha
Say what you will about exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Love ‘em or hate ‘em, they can help you be a better investor. Why? Because they’re barometers of market sentiment. You don’t need to subscribe to expensive advisory services to get early warnings of change ahead. Regard, for example, the relationship between the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE Arca: SPY) and […]
Apple Inc. Days Numbered As World’s Most Valuable Company
Written by StockNews.com Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) is currently the world’s largest publicly traded firm, with an approximate market cap of $728 billion but a Saudi oil behemoth is set to IPO soon, and its valuation could actually be double that of Apple’s. Some time in 2018, Saudi Aramco will hit the public markets for the […]
January 2017 CoreLogic Home Prices Year-over-Year Growth Rate Now 6.9%.
CoreLogic’s Home Price Index (HPI) shows that home prices in the USA are up 6.9 % year-over-year year-over-year (reported up 0.7 % month-over-month). Last month’s 7.2 % year-over-year gain was revised downward to 6.3 %. CoreLogic HPI is used in the Federal Reserves’ Flow of Funds to calculate the values of residential real estate. Analyst […]
Gold Investing 101 – Beware Ebay, Collectibles And “Pure” Gold Coins That Are Gold Plated – Part 1
Investors looking to gold again but gold buyers need to exert caution ‘Wolves of Wall Street’ ready to hungrily gobble up life savings of unsuspecting ‘widows and orphans’ Like all markets are few bad apples in gold market Need to do due diligence on company buying from Avoid companies marketing gold plated coins as “pure […]
US Consumer Spending Highest Since 2008 As Economic Confidence Hits Record High: Gallup
Perhaps it is the last hurrah of the Trump post-election euphoriabut according to Gallup there were two notable development in February. First, Americans’ daily self-reports of spending climbed to an average of $101 in February. This, Gallup reports, was the highest average for the month of February since 2008, when spending averaged $106. The latest monthly […]
Can A Retirement Plan Have Too Much Risk Management?
The issue of excess has been on my mind lately, mostly focused on my fragrance collection but now expanding to the topic of investment risk management. More specifically, as I continue to lead workshops about retirement plan risk management for the Professional Risk Managers’ International Association (“PRMIA”), I am pondering whether too much of a so-called “good […]
The Challenges Of Standard Portfolio Diversification
Last week on my podcast, I had the opportunity to interview Vinay Nair, a Wharton professor and co-founder of the firm 55 Capital Partners. Nair’s research sits at the intersection of macroeconomic and corporate fundamental factors and how they tie into capital market prices. Tying his academic research—investing science—in with investment solutions and that work has led […]
Healthcare ETFs In Focus On Obamacare Replacement Plan
Healthcare was the top-performing sector of February and is in the spotlight given President Donald Trump’s healthcare overhaul efforts. Trump promised to reduce federal regulations by 75–80% and streamline the Food & Drug Administration (FDA) approval process. This will make it easier for biotech and pharma companies to introduce products to the market. The major […]
