If All Investments Were Private
This piece is another one of my experiments, please bear with me. “Measure Twice, Cut Once” — A very intelligent woman (I suspect) whose name never got recorded the first time it was uttered “Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.” — Warren Buffett […]
E Revisiting The Big Picture On The Economy
As many of you know, I call readers everyday looking for fresh market intelligence and new ways to improve my service. Yesterday, I spoke to a seven-year follower who inspired me to write this piece. She was thinking of quitting the stock market and not renewing my newsletter. A 50 year market veteran who grew […]
Forex Week In Review – 4/4/2016
Last week was yet another mixed affair for the world’s major markets, with the Nikkei and European markets falling. The oil price weakened, dipping below the $40 mark on fears of over-supply, with the usual consequences. The week marked the end of the first quarter of the New Year. In Europe over the course of […]
Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate Remains 10.3%
The unemployment rate in the euro-zone remains 10.3%, as expected for February. The figure for January was revised up to 10.4%. At the same time, producer prices deteriorated even further: a drop of 0.7% m/m, worse than 0.5% expected and 4.2% y/y, also worse than 4% predicted. EUR/USD remains at the bottom of the high […]
5 Best-Performing High-Yield Muni Bond Mutual Funds Of Q1
After a dream run in 2015, high-yield municipal bond mutual funds or high-yield muni bond mutual funds continue to impress this year. Among the muni bond fund categories, the high-yield ones emerged as the top performers in the first quarter, according to Morningstar. These funds – considered one of the safest choices in deriving tax-exempted […]
Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes – April 4, 2016
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked higher in March—the first increase in five months. GMI—an unmanaged market-value weighted mix of the major asset classes—is projected to earn an annualized 3.0% over the “risk free” rate in the long term. (For details on the equilibrium-based methodology that’s used to generate the forecasts […]
My “Wisdom” On The Being An Optimist About The Future
Tadas ends his blogger wisdom series asking what we’re excited about that no one else is talking about. I said: I am excited about how great the future is going to be. We live on a rock spinning 1,000 mph through space in a universe where we might be the only creatures fully aware of it. The […]
WTI Crude Oil And Natural Gas Forecast – April 4, 2016
WTI Crude Oil The WTI Crude Oil market initially rallied during the day on Friday but fell significantly and ended up breaking below the $37 level. On top of that, we close at the very bottom of the candle which of course is always a very bearish sign. With that being the case, I believe […]
Further Euro Upside Possible Without ECB Interference – A Big ’If’
Fundamental Forecast for EUR/USD: Neutral – EUR/USD quickly moved into a bullish breakout posture after Fed Chair Yellen’s comments. – Despite a ‘good enough’ US jobs report, EUR/USD’s ascent was only momentarily stalled intraday. – As market volatility ebbs, it’s a good time to review risk management principles. The Euro finished out the quarter on mostly strong footing, rallying further against recently […]
Global Stocks Rise, Europe Rebounds As Oil Halts Decline
In a quiet start to the week following last week’s surprisingly strong rebound which followed a stronger than expected jobs report (perhaps to demonstrate that good news is once again good news), Japan stocks continued to sink as the USDJPY dropped to fresh lows, while commodities declined for a fifth day as the supply glut […]
