Surprise: GAAP S&P500 EPS Set To Decline 1.3% In 2014
One of the justifications pundits have been forced to use today to explain the unprecedented collapse in holiday spending, which as we noted yesterday, tumbled by 11% is that more and more consumers are simply purchasing items on line. Which is great… until one looks at the actual data which reveals a diametrically opposite reality, namely […]
Yield Curve For December 1, 2014
The 10-5-2 spread is rising with nominal yields reversing to up. A little risk off’y to go with junk bonds, which are quite risk off’y. 10, 5 & 2 year yields from Bloomberg For reference, here is the 30 vs. 5 today (2 year is not live @ stockcharts.com)…
Third Quarter Earnings Season Winds Down
The third quarter earnings season for companies in the S&P 500 officially comes to an end over the next week. The final six companies in the index will report throughout this week and next Monday. This week, we get results from Brown-Forman (BF-B), Avago Technologies (AVGO) and PVH Corp on Wednesday, Kroger (KR) and Dollar General (DG) on Thursday, and […]
Swiss Vote: Marker For The End Of Western Monetary Dominance
As anticipated the Swiss gold referendum failed, but the margin of 77% Nein to 23% Ja should serve as an embarrassment to a country and a currency once considered hard money. I would suggest this attitude might prompt some no confidence outflows out of Switzerland’s allegedly secure banking system. In fact this is a perfect […]
Fewest Investors Since 1989, Believe Stocks Will Be Higher A Year From Now
Click on picture to enlarge The above table reflects that fewest percentage of individual investors since 1989, believe stocks will be higher a year from now, according to research from the Yale School of Management. Does this mean stocks are at a peak? Or should one look at this from a contrarian viewpoint, as few […]
Amazon Psyched For Cyber Monday
Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) believes this holiday season will be one of the best it has ever experienced as Black Friday already gave the e-commerce giant a clear indication of what to expect. It recorded impressive sales results in the U.K, just only four years after the event was launched. The company reports that it surpassed […]
November 2014 ISM Manufacturing Survey Declines Insignificantly. Expansion Continues
The ISM Manufacturing survey continues to indicate manufacturing growth expansion with an insignificant decrease in the rate of growth. This survey should be considered good news as it reconfirms a rather strong report last month. Key internals improved. The ISM Manufacturing survey index (PMI) declined from 59.0 to 58.7 (50 separates manufacturing contraction and expansion). This was […]
Oil, Cartels, And The ECB
OPEC is a cartel but it is a strange species in the sense that it only accounts for about 40% of oil production. In the past exerted its influence by cutting production, as in 2008, and driving up prices. Now it faces a different challenge. New supply has come on the market, which threatens the cartel’s […]
The Economic Absurdity Of US Laws Limiting Individual Choice
Introduction American jails are full of citizens for possessing small amounts of drugs. At the same time, smoking, an activity that kills almost 500,000 American annually, is allowed. Guns kill more than 30,000 Americans per year. They are also allowed. In a civilized society, government limits on citizens’ actions should only apply where harm to […]
The Governments Know Sovereign Debt Defaults Are Coming
On page 13 of the IMF Working Paper entitled Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950–2010: Literature Survey, Data, and Stylized Facts, you will find this timeline on how to deal with the coming Sovereign Debt Default. Behind the Curtain, they know what is coming. They appear to be even using our timing. Numerous emails have come in asking about […]
