If You Thought Grocery Prices Were High, Wait For Mass Deportation
Wages for farm workers and food processing will likely rise, if the past is any guide.Figure 1: Farm worker wage, 2023$ (blue, left log scale), and share of civilian employment foreign born (tan, right scale), both s.a. NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. iFarm worker wage seasonally adjusted by author using X-13, deflated using CPI-U. […]
What Poor Breadth Means For The Stock Market
Image Source: Pexels We are in a seasonally bullish period for the stock market, and every business news channel is currently telling viewers to “get in before you miss out”. What they fail to say is that you need to look at market indicators before you do. The market’s poor breadth is particularly useful to guide […]
NGDP Guardrails: Do The Right Thing
Image Source: Pexels Tyler Cowen recent asked o1 Pro this question: What is the biggest problem with the idea of the Fed subsidizing an NGDP futures market, as economist Scott Sumner has proposed? Feel free to give an answer relying on theoretical macroeconomics, agency problems, finance theory, and the like. Here’s part of the response: One of […]
Semiconductor Index Mini-Breakout
All markets enjoyed a bright day – even the Russell 2000 (IWM) – although the last hour of trading saw some comeback across the indices. Best of the action came from the Semiconductor Index (SOX). Friday’s gains were enough to see the index close above all key moving averages. Today’s trading saw the index close […]
Nasdaq 100 Shakeup: 3 Stocks That Can Gain
Image courtesy of 123rf.com Investors like to see capital-allocation hierarchies, and Nasdaq-100 (NDX) is one of them. Year-to-date, this index grew by 32%, capturing the performance of the 100 largest non-financial firms. Nearly 60% of Nasdaq 100 companies are from the IT sector, dominated by Apple at 8.85% weight, closely followed by Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and […]
S&P Israel 100 Index: Reflecting Israel’s Potential
The Israeli stock market has a unique landscape, offering stability and liquidity comparable to other well-established markets, while also providing regional diversification as the only developed market in the Middle East. In recent years, Israel has been a spotlight for technology and innovation, hosting many high-tech companies from industries like cybersecurity, biotechnology and software development. […]
Silver Chartbook – Bullish Wedge Limits Remaining Downside
Image Source: Pixabay As the dust has settled after the US election, market dynamics are shifting focus towards monetary policy decisions and ongoing geopolitical tensions. Silver Chartbook – Bullish wedge limits remaining downside.An exceptionally successful year for precious metals is drawing to a close. The price of gold has risen impressively by 30.9% in USD terms. Silver […]
Why Is The Fed Cutting Rates? Value In The Dating App Stocks, Homebuilders Breaking Down
The Fed is going to cut rates a quarter point on Wednesday – but it shouldn’t and it doesn’t seem like it wants to. The stock market is at all time highs, Bitcoin is over $100,000 and inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed’s 2% target. Trump’s illegal immigration crackdown and tariffs – while correct from a long […]
Nasdaq Nabs Record Close; Dow Stuck In Historic Slump
Stocks were mostly higher today, though the Dow extended its losing streak to six-year proportions. Despite bouncing off session lows and briefly entering the black, the blue-chip index ultimately finished lower for the eight-straight day, its longest losing streak since June 2018. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both secured wins, the latter notching a record close as […]
Quantum Stocks Leap
Alphabet (GOOGL) has continued to surge higher since last week when it had a delayed response to news that its Willow quantum computing chip had made a breakthrough in the speed in which it can solve problems. GOOGL shares are up another 4.5% today and are now up more than 13% since last Monday’s close. As shown below, GOOGL experienced […]
