An Embarrassment Of Stitches

An Embarrassment Of Stitches

Leonor Jean-Christine Soulas d’Allainval was no Shakespeare. His first play, “L’Embarras des richesses,” was a three-act comedy that premiered in 1726 and was performed only four times in the hopeful playwright’s lifetime. At age 53 he died embarrassingly franc-less at the Hotel de Paris. That’s not to say Soulas did not leave his linguistic mark, […]
Gold Daily And Silver Weekly Charts – March Madness

Gold Daily And Silver Weekly Charts – March Madness

Well, at least now we know why gold was knocked down lower in the paper trading earlier this week.  It was to prepare us for The Big Retraction from the Fed, who begged a mulligan on their most recent rosy forecasts from three months ago about The Recovery™. And as suspected, it’s those foreigners who are at […]
Redacted Version Of The March 2016 FOMC Statement

Redacted Version Of The March 2016 FOMC Statement

January 2016 March 2016 Comments Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December suggests that labor market conditions improved further even as economic growth slowed late last year. Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace despite the global economic and financial developments of […]
Industrial Production Drops For A Fourth Straight Month

Industrial Production Drops For A Fourth Straight Month

US Industrial Production contracted for the fourth consecutive month in February, falling 1.03% year-over-year. It was the third drop of more than 1% in those four months, leaving the 6-month average now at -0.57%. A single month of -1% is usually associated with recession, let alone three of the past four and a negative six-month […]
LinkedIn Corp Stock Falls After Downgrade From Morgan Stanley

LinkedIn Corp Stock Falls After Downgrade From Morgan Stanley

LinkedIn (LNKD) stock received a downgrade from analysts at Morgan Stanley as a result of decelerating growth in enterprise and Talent Solutions and rising investments in all four of the social network’s businesses. They also warned investors that the company’s platform probably won’t be as big as they thought it would be previously. Their price […]
Market Talk – March 16, 2016

Market Talk – March 16, 2016

With both Asia and European markets were in pretty much a waiting station ahead of the FED, so it is probably worth us heading straight to where the action started! Even the events of the UK Budget were almost removed with talks of, “It could all change come June 23rd anyway” so why get too hot under […]
S&P 500 Snapshot: The Fed Tempest In A Teapot… A Modest Gain On Low Volume

S&P 500 Snapshot: The Fed Tempest In A Teapot… A Modest Gain On Low Volume

The pre-FOMC trade this week has been, in our characterization, in the doldrums, as illustrated by the fractional losses on Monday and Tuesday and the two narrowest intraday trading ranges of 2016. Today’s market action saw a typical 2 PM mini-drama with the release of the statement followed by Janet Yellen’s press conference. It was […]
The Monetary Base, Buybacks And The Stock Market

The Monetary Base, Buybacks And The Stock Market

A Useful Leading Indicator? We often see charts comparing the S&P 500 to the growth in the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, or more specifically, to assets held by the Fed. There is undeniably a close correlation between the two, but it has struck us as not very useful as a “timing device”, or an early […]
Gold, Stocks, & Bonds Soar As “Cowardly Lyin'” Fed Batters Banks & Greenback

Gold, Stocks, & Bonds Soar As “Cowardly Lyin'” Fed Batters Banks & Greenback

Watching the markets’ reaction and listening to Yellen’s incomprehensible drivel brought to mind two Gladiator clips… Pre-Fed… and Post-Fed… So let’s survey the ‘damage’… Rate hike odds plunged… And the market turmoiled all over the place… But Gold was the post-Fed winner… Trannies were best on the day… (not the pump and dump between statement […]
Fed Says Two Hikes, Down From Four; Market Says One

Fed Says Two Hikes, Down From Four; Market Says One

Following today’s FOMC announcement in which the Fed scaled back its rate hike projections from four to two, the market scaled back its assessments even more according to CME Fedwatch analysis of Fed Fund Futures. Let’s compare rate hike odds on March 14 to today to see how the odds shifted. June 15 Meeting Odds on March […]