Written by Gary
Nice recovery Mr. Market. The averages climbed out of the morning doldrums to sit nicely in the green by the noon hour. While the DOW remains flat the other averages have melted up over +0.4%, but on falling volume sometimes hitting anemic values.
By 11:30 the averages hit their high points and started trading sideways in a very narrow range. By noon the large caps fell below their historic closing highs looking weak and tired, but still trending sideways. Investors are obviously interested to see where the afternoon session ends up.
Our medium term indicators are leaning towards sell portfolio of non-performersat the midday and the short-term market direction meter is bullish and has been all morning. We remain mostly conservatively bullish, neutral in other words. Right now now I am getting very concerned any downtrend could get very aggressive in the short-term and volatility may also promote sudden reversals. The SP500 MACD has turned flat, but remains above zero at 24.52. I would advise caution in taking any position during this uncertain period and I hope you have returned your ‘dogs’ to the pound.
Having some cash on hand now is not a bad strategy as market changes are happening everyday. As of now, I do not see any leading indicators that are warning of a ‘long-term’ reversal in the near-term. There may be one later in 2015, but any market fluctuations we see now are more of a internal market rectification than a bear market.
Investing.com members’ sentiments are 65 % Bearish (falling from 70% and now rising from 33%).
Investors Intelligence sets the breath at 53.1 % bullish with the status at BearCorrection. I expect a market reversal at or before ~25.0 should the markets start to descend.
StockChart.com Overbought / Oversold Index ($NYMO) is at -3.01. But anything below -30 / -40 is a concern of going deeper. Oversold conditions on the NYSE McClellan Oscillator usually bounce back at anything over -50 and reverse after reaching +40 oversold.