Written by Gary
The averages mostly traded along the unchanged line all afternoon remaining mixed. The The large caps closed in the green, but flat and the small caps closed in the red down -0.3% with the $RUT down -0.8%. Volume remained low, but not the anemic lows seen last week.
By 4 pm the averages closed VERY quietly without any volume spike usually noted at the close. What does this mean?
It means nothing as far as I can tell, but it is sure not the euphoria investors like to see when some analysts are claiming we are going to see Mr. Market push higher.
Our medium term indicators are leaning towards sell portfolio of non-performers at the close and the short-term market direction meter is Bearish. We remain mostly conservatively bullish, neutral in other words. Right now now I am getting very concerned any downtrend could get very aggressive in the short-term and volatility may also promote sudden reversals. The SP500 MACD has turned flat, but remainsabove zero at 24.64. I would advise caution in taking any position during this uncertain period and I hope you have returned your ‘dogs’ to the pound.
Having some cash on hand now is not a bad strategy as market changes are happening everyday. As of now, I do not see any leading indicators that are warning of a ‘long-term’ reversal in the near-term. There may be one later in 2015, but any market fluctuations we see now are more of a internal market rectification than a bear market.
Investing.com members’ sentiments are 63 % Bearish (falling from 70% and now rising from 33%).
Investors Intelligence sets the breath at 52.9 % bullish with the status at BearCorrection. (Chart Here ) I expect a market reversal at or before ~25.0 should the direction continue to descend.
StockChart.com Overbought / Oversold Index ($NYMO) is at 15.02. (Chart Here)But anything below -30 / -40 is a concern of going deeper. Oversold conditions on the NYSE McClellan Oscillator usually bounce back at anything over -50 and reverse after reaching +40 oversold. (Now were are high enough to descend again – watch out!)
