Short Gold With These ETFs


The rally in gold ETFs that was spurred by the safe haven demand in the wake of the Chinese market rout, overall global growth worries and nagging oil price declines at the start of 2016, has started to lose steam.

Possibilities of another Fed rate hike as early as in April, given stronger U.S. economic numbers and an upward shift in Q4 GDP data have added strength in the greenback lately. Notably, PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF (UUP) added over 1.3% in the last five trading sessions (as of March 24, 2016). As a result, a surging greenback weighed on the yellow metal as these are mostly priced in the U.S. dollar. 

Also, rate hike talks pushed up the U.S. Treasury bond yields in recent times, which in turn wrecked havoc on non-interest bearing assets like gold. In any case, the outlook for gold investing was appalling (read: Pain or Gain Ahead for Gold ETFs in 2016?).
 
The metal saw its third consecutive annual decline in 2015, being crushed heavily by the strength of the greenback in the wake of the Fed policy tightening, demand-supply imbalances and tepid global inflation (especially in the developed markets). As a result, the largest gold bullion ETF SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) lost over 11% in 2015, followed by a 3.8% decline in 2014 and 28.8% in 2013 (see all precious metal ETFs here).

Now the renewed talks of Fed tightening have cast a shadow over this space. The price of gold fell to the lowest level in more than a month of late. Following the Fed meeting in mid-March, which indicated two more hikes this year, the largest gold bullion ETF SPDR Gold Shares saw asset outflow of $844.9 million from March 20 to March 27, 2016.

As a result, investors who are bearish on gold right now may want to consider a near-term short on the precious metal. Below, we highlight a few such options (read: Believe in Goldman? Short Gold with These ETFs). 

DB Gold Short ETN (DGZ)

This ETN has an inverse (opposite) relation to the movement of gold prices and thus creates a short position in the underlying index. It has managed assets of $23.9 million so far in the year and trades in average daily volume of more than 200,000 shares. This suggest a relatively wide bid/ask spread increasing the total cost for the product beyond the annual fees of 75 bps. DGZ added about 2.7% in the last five trading sessions (as of March 24, 2016).

DB Gold Double Short ETN (DZZ

This ETN seeks to deliver twice (2X or 200%) the inverse return of the daily performance of the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index-Optimum Yield Gold, as per etfdb. The note charges 75 bps in fees per year from investors.

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