Anxiety is a thin stream of fear trickling through the mind. If encouraged, it cuts a channel into which all other thoughts are drained.  – Arthur Somers Roche

2015 was a terrible year for oil and it looked like 2106 would even worse; oil dipped below $30.00 and all cockroaches (oops we mean analysts) started to state $10.00 oil was next. When we heard this nonsense, we penned an article titled will the crude oil price crash become even worse in 2016?

What you need to remember is that the oil market tanked suddenly, and this occurred while the Top Analysts were making calls for higher prices. Hence, just as the oil market collapsed when everybody was proclaiming higher prices, oil will probably stabilize sometime in 2016 as everyone expects it to keep crashing.

In March of 2016, we reiterated our views in this article Mass Psychology predicted crude oil bottom 2016

Notice that the $30.00 price point level has held on a monthly basis. Oil has not closed below this important level on a monthly basis for two months in a row, and this has to be viewed a very bullish development. Our overall view is for crude oil to trend higher with the possibility of trading past the $55.00 ranges. In the face of extreme negativity, oil is reversing, just as it collapsed in the face of Euphoria. A weekly close above 35.00 will set the foundation for oil to trade past the main downtrend line and in doing so send the first signal for a move to the $50 plus ranges.  

So what does the future hold in store for oil?

Oil traded as high as $51.34 so we did not fare too shabbily regarding our suggested targets for oil. 

Before we continue, it appears less and less likely that oil will trade past $90.00 unless the investment bankers and oil companies collude to boost oil prices artificially. Every few months’ large fields of oil are being discovered; the latest find is in Texas.

One portion of the giant field, known as the Wolfcamp formation, was found to hold 20 billion barrels of oil trapped in four layers of shale beneath West Texas. That is almost three times larger than North Dakota’s Bakken play.