Crude oil prices are taking a respite from last week’s blistering selloff. The lull may be short-lived however as a fresh batch of supply indicators cross the wires. The OPEC monthly report will show production estimates for February and help gauge if its coordinated supply cuts still some bite. API weekly inventory flow figures will help show if swing supply continues to swell, undermining OPEC’s efforts.
Gold prices are digesting losses after falling to the lowest level in six weeks against the backdrop of firming Fed interest rate hike speculation. A recovering US Dollar is making for a degree of selling pressure but progress may be limited in the near term, with traders reluctant to show directional commitment until after the passing of the FOMC policy announcement on Wednesday.
GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Gold prices fell as expected after producing a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. From here, a move below the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 1181.92 exposes the 50% level at 1156.61. Alternatively, a turn above support-turned-resistance at 1218.90 opens the door for a retest of the 14.6% Fib at 1232.55.
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CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Crude oil prices are digesting losses after dropping to the lowest level in nearly four months. From here, a daily close below the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 47.22 exposes the 61.8% level at 45.33. Alternatively, a reversal above the 38.2% Fib at 49.11 targets the 23.6% retracement at 51.44.
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