On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed slightly lower after the release of ADP employment report. The ADP report was positive, but a few items caused the Dow to finish lower.
The first of which is pause before this Friday’s non-farm payroll report. It seems that traders have paused a lot of buying of stocks in an effort to await for this data. This data is highly important because it is the last bit of data that the Fed will get before it decides if it will raise interest rates or not.
Private Sector Jobs
The report showed that employers added a total of 298,000 jobs for the month of February. This number was good for two reasons.
The first reason is that many analysts only expected the ADP number to grow by only 190,000 jobs. The second reason is January posted a smaller ADP number. There were about 246,000 jobs created.
This was a big shock to traders because the reported number came in much higher than anticipated. This was an overall positive boost for the Dow, because such a boost in employment is encouraging for the economy.
This report was probably a big reason why the Dow didn’t close any lower.
Non-Farm Payrolls
There is no doubt that the ADP report was highly positive. The problem is that it is not the only report set for release this week. On Friday, the U.S. government is set to release the non-farm payrolls report.
The Dow is currently in limbo as traders are awaiting for that data to determine how the Fed will respond with respect to interest rates. It makes sense, as buyers are holding back until they know whether the non-farm payroll numbers will be good for bad.
This means that the rest of the week traders will be cautious buying ahead of such an event. What this means is that the Dow may not gain as much until there is a clearer picture on what the Fed will do.
Stronger Dollar
As soon as the ADP payroll report was released the dollar started to get stronger. The dollar index, which tracks the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.28% to 102.09. In other words, the dollar index hit a 5-day high after the release of the report.
