Tuesday In Charts: ‘Remember To What You Owe Your Good Fortunes’


So first, this (summarized in two handy bullet points via Bloomberg):

  • Vice President Mike Pence breaks a 50-50 tie in the U.S. Senate to allow debate to begin on legislation to repeal Obamacare.
  • Senate votes 51-50 to agree to a motion to proceed to health- care legislation that was passed by the House, H.R. 1628, which would be subject to amendments; the exact shape of the bill remains unclear
  • Stocks hit more records today helped by Caterpillar and McDonald’s which were sharply higher on earnings (“I’m Lovin’ It“):

    MCDCAT

    The Nasdaq underperformed as Google fell.

    The VIX crashed near an 8-handle, which is pretty much all you need to know about that, although I guess it’s worth noting that it did move higher later in the session:

    VIX

    Yields rose throughout the session (ahead of the Fed) as multiple block trades weighed on Treasuries.

    10YYield

    10Y

    Blocks

    30YYield

    Blocks2

    As Treasury yields go, so goes USDJPY, which was also buoyed by characteristically absurd BoJ minutes, which pressured the yen against all its G-10 peers:

    USDJPY

    hahahah: “BOJ Discussed Growing Interest in Exit Strategy at June Meeting”

    so they discussed other people discussing it

    — Walter White (@heisenbergrpt) July 25, 2017

    Crude posted its biggest intraday gain in at least a week, as bulls are emboldened by promises of August export cuts from the Saudis and signs US operators are starting to rethink capex plans. Of course this could all turn around when the API data hits.

    Crude

    Notably, we’ve now recouped all the losses from the Petro-Logistics report that undercut the market on Friday:

    WTI

    The dollar fell sharply as the euro and the pound surged suddenly early this morning, but the greenback managed to recover, helped by rising yields:

    DXY

    The euro was hilarious, spiking hard to trade above 1.17 for the first time since August 2015, only to give it all back after an IMF report encouraging the ECB to keep its stimulus program in place citing downside growth risks:

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