The S&P 500 and the Dow have accompanied the U.S. Dollar Index on its huge corrective zig-zag rise and will continue to accompany it on its coming collapse. Gold, and its miners, wait in anticipation of the U.S. Dollar Index crossing the 91.88 level before they move explosively upwards.
The dollar has been falling lately, which wasn’t expected given that the Fed is the only major central bank that’s raising interest rates. Higher yields on dollar balances should have attracted foreign capital to Treasury paper, putting upward pressure on the dollar. It didn’t happen. The dollar is down about 10% since the Fed started tightening.
Stocks, meanwhile, might reasonably have been expected to fall, as their dividend yields become less attractive relative to rising risk-free fixed income returns. That also didn’t happen. Equities are now at record levels.
As for what happens next, Ron Rosen of the Rosen Market Timing newsletter has just published some dramatic predictions. Here’s an excerpt:
“This REPORT attempts to demonstrate that the day the Dollar Index crosses beneath the 91.88 level will probably be the beginning of a collapse in the stock averages and a massive rise in the precious metals complex.
The completion of the 9 year Zig-Zag correction in the U.S. Dollar Index is telling us that D-Day will take place the day that the Dollar Index crosses beneath the 91.88 low. The following is an explanation of a Zig-Zag correction.
Excerpts from the NASDQ description of a Zig–Zag correction: “Zig zags look like a lightning bolt on the chart. There are 2 rules for zig zags:
