Curve Flattens After Blistering 30Y Auction Stops Through, Highest Bid To Cover In Two Years


After yesterday’s stellar 10Y auction, today at 1pm the Treasury sold the last of three weekly auctions, by offering $12 billion in 30Y paper to eager buyers. And eager they were, with the high yield of 2.870% stopping through the When Issued 2.874% by 0.4 bps. This was the biggest strop through on a 30Y auction going back to October 2016.

It wasn’t just the stop out that was strong, but the Bid to Cover as well, which at 2.530 was the highest going all the way back to September 2015. The internals were similary impressive, with Indirects taking down 62.8%, up from 58.8% in September, and on top of the 6 month average of 62.4%. Directs ended up with 10.6%, the highest award since March, higher than the 6.1% average, while Dealers were left holding 26.6% of the auction, the lowest dealer takedown since March, suggesting once again that even a modest increase in yields and foreign duration seekers crawl out of the woorwork and buy any US paper they can find.

Overall, while not a strong as yesterday’s 10Y auction, there were blistering demand for today’s last weekly auction, which was observed earlier courtesy of the 5s30s which has been flattening all day, sending the yield curve to the flattest in years.

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