Weekly Report: Geometry Of Global Financial Markets


  • Crude Oil is primed to resume its daily uptrend and longer-term eyes the $75-$87 range. For that it needs to close and stay above geometric resistance (now turned support) of $54.90.
  • Russell 2000 Index is potentially finished consolidating, but requires a weekly close above 1,499.06.
  • TASI (Saudi Stock Exchange) displays bullish potential during the current consolidation, but must continue to stay above the recent low of 6,772.12 to have a chance of an eventual bullish trigger.
  • Walmart reaches parabolic topping area and time, with harmonic support at both $95.90 and $90.20.
  • General Electric (update) has broken below aligned support angles and now heads toward the $10 support area, unless it is stopped first by $14.40 support.
  • Bitcoin (update) reached price target only two trading days off initial target, after bottoming right on harmonic circular support. Both higher and lower price targets are presented geometrically.
  • CRUDE OIL (CL SPOT)

  • Important November geometric resistance of $54.90 was broken to the upside on November 3 and then tested as support and held on November 14-16. This is bullish behavior.
  • If crude finishes the month above $54.90, the bull trend should continue.
  • On the other hand, if price breaks below $54.90 a deeper retracement is much more likely. 
  • Upper resistance levels are from $69 to $85, as given by wave interference patterns shown in the charts below.
  • On November 3, crude oil broke above resistance of $55.24 from the high of the first week of this year. Perhaps even more important is the simultaneous breakout of resistance at the confluence of two wave interference patterns:

    Oil_WaveInterferene_v1.png

    Wave interference patterns are generated from the intersection of two (or more) sets of concentric circles interacting (emanating, usually from an important reversals), akin to dropping two stones into a pond. 

    The line patterns shown here (solid lines) are made by connecting such intersections using specific relationships: 1×1 (black) and 4×1 (brown). Although line patterns can start anywhere, the examples shown are selected due to their alignment with price. 

    While crude is still recovering from the major low of Jan./Feb. 2016, formed at the 4×1 pattern (brown), this month it managed to cross above resistance at $54.90, from the critical mid-line (black dashed angle). Note previous resistance from this mid-line at point B, causing the final leg of the downtrend to support. However, the month is only half-finished. Time will tell if the month closes above $54.90.

    Note the double-top at the black resistance pattern of 1×1, whose continuation downward shows potential resistance around $75-$87, at the time the current market may reach it. But, the $75 price level of the 1/2 point (dashed black horizontal) stands in the way of a full recovery back up to the resistance curve. Notice its prior effectiveness as support at point A.

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