Unchain My Bullish Heart


Funny, when Keith and I took a walk to town the other day, we saw this bronze sculpture.

Chained, so nobody can walk away with a 400 pound bronze bull, we thought it potentially symbolic.

Today in the market, someone tied a link chain around the bull’s neck and then padlocked it.

It all began with the Dow reaching 26,000.

Whereas I suspected a gremlin on the wing of the plane at 25,000 might appear, he hid in plain sight until 26,000.

Poetic justice on the plane analogy, I have written over and over that you all should keep eyes on Transportation (IYT), the Tran sibling of the Modern Family.

At 10:07 AM EST, I tweeted, “Keep eyes on $IYT-got to 206 and a bit beyond, just like when $SMH went to 106 and a bit beyond-$IYT now red-wouldn’t be surprised to see more profit taking-with $200 now the first point to hold-then reevaluate.”

By 3:00 PM, Tran (IYT) traded down to $201.63. The indices followed.

The question on everyone’s mind, “Was today the top?”

I traditionally use 5 different chart indicators to find tops.

  • An island top. Not applicable in the indices as the gap was filled from the new highs intraday.
  • Double tops. Again N/A-new highs not matched at this point.
  • New highs, close on the intraday lows accompanied by double or triple the average daily volume-not really, although volume was huge. The indices closed lower, (except for the Dow), but not on their intraday lows.
    NOTE-IWM did close in the bottom 25% of the intraday low-caution
  • After new highs, a second day close under the reversal day lows-too soon to know.
  • Blow off top-similar to number 3, huge volume brings the instrument to new highs and then, with everyone trapped-items 1-4 can happen-let’s call this a maybe.
  • Since the most likely one to play out is number 4 or 5, we do have to wait another day. After all, we have seen this market roar back on fresh buying each time it has corrected.

    Best place to keep eyes?

    Reviews

    • Total Score 0%
    User rating: 0.00% ( 0
    votes )



    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *