Off Cheap Valuation Of PSU Banks And Key Stocks In Action Today -

Off Cheap Valuation Of PSU Banks And Key Stocks In Action Today

Mar 05, 2018Jeremy ParkinsonFinance0

NSE PSU Bank Index surged 30% on 25^th October 2017 – the date when bank recapitalization of Rs 2.1 trillion was announced. God bless the investors who bought the public-sector banks on this date. Fast forward to 27^th February and investors would have lost massive net worth in these stocks.

Loss in Market Capitalization of PSU Banks from 26^th October 2017 to 27^th February 2018

Bank Price as on 26^th October 2017 Price as on 27^th February 2018 Loss in Market Cap (in %) Current Price/ Book Value 10 Yr Median Price/ Book Value Punjab National Bank 213 98 -54% 0.6 1.2 Union Bank of India 186 103 -45% 0.4 0.7 Allahabad Bank 84 52 -39% 0.3 0.7 Andhra Bank 70 45 -35% 0.4 0.9 Syndicate Bank 82 59 -28% 0.4 0.8 Bank of India 193 141 -27% 0.5 1.1 Bank of Baroda 185 141 -24% 0.8 1.1 SBI Bank 321 268 -16% 1.2 1.4

Source: ACE Equity

The healthy correction has led to these banks trading at attractive valuations. All the banks as mentioned in this table are trading below their ten-year median price/book value. Certain brokerage houses have even initiated a buy call on few of these stocks.

Now, there is a term in investing called Value Traps. Value traps are stocks that are trading at very cheap valuations. These stocks can trade cheap forever and never really recover in terms of stock price performance. There is a reason for this. And the reason is related to structural problems with the company.

The structural problem with public sector banks is the credit appraisal policy. In the greed of balance sheet growth and pressure from government, these banks have lent to stressed sectors such as power and iron & steel. The result- Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA’s) of public sector bank have shot up to 11.03% in FY17 as compared to 4.97% in FY15.