After the Fed’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged the gold was quite strong. Despite the US dollar making another ultra-short term top, gold prices held well:
source: stooq.com
Note that yesterday (May 1) the US dollar broke above its resistance (the red line) but gold did not break below its ultra-short-term support (the green line). So there is a small divergence.
What does it mean? Generally, in the long term it means nothing at all (the big picture remains unchanged) but in the ultra-short-term we may see gold prices going a bit higher now (as I wrote in my latest piece – it is a very primitive short term trade).
What is more, the GDX / gold ratio is supporting a relatively bullish thesis on gold:
source: Simple Digressions
As the chart above shows, since late March 2018 the ratio has been in its upward trend. Interestingly, this time it is a promising medium-term signal (the shares of precious metals mining companies are stronger than bullion). It looks like Mr. Market wants to tell us:
“Not everything is that bad with precious metals as it looks”
