USD/JPY Surges Toward 150.00, Boosted By Elevated U.S. Treasury Yields


Yen. Image Source: Pixabay
The USD/JPY rebounds from daily lows of 148.01 and rallies more than 0.81% boosted by a jump in the US 10-year Treasury bond yield. At the time of writing, the major exchanges hands at 149.54 and tests a key technical resistance level eyeing the 150.00 figure.

The pair rebounds sharply, fueled by US bond yields and economic indicators, despite mixed consumer sentiment
Key US economic data was revealed today, beginning with the US Initial Jobless Claims for the last week rising less than expected, coming at 209K, below forecasts of 225K, and two weeks ago 233K. At the same time, Durable Goods Orders plunged -5.4% in October, below an expected contraction of -3.1%. Market participants ignored the data, though consumer sentiment moved the needle.In November, the University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment rose to 61.3, above estimates of 60.5, but missed the prior reading. American households’ inflation expectations, climbed for the one-year outlook, reaching 4.5% compared to the previous reading of 4.4%, and for a five-year outlook, prices are projected to rise to 3.2%.The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of six currencies vs. the Greenback, rose sharply by 0.49% and sits at 104.10, underpinned by higher US Treasury bond yields, as a reaction to the UoM inflation expectations poll.On the Japanese front, Japanese authorities downward revised the economic outlook for the first time in 10 months. The revision came after Japan printed a contraction in the third quarter as demand waned. Therefore, the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) dovish stance would likely continue well into 2024, despite expressions that foresee the BoJ would end its negative interest rate policy in April of next year, according to former BoJ executive Kazuo Momma.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook
From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY shifted to a neutral-upward bias as price action witnessed a break of the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), opening the door for further gains. However, buyers must reclaim the Tenkan-Sen at 149.53 so they can challenge the 150.00 figure mark. On the other hand, failure to crack the confluence of the Tenkan and Kijun-Sen would pave the way for a downward correction, toward 149.00, with sellers eyeing a drop inside the Kumo to test November’s 21 low of 147.15.

USD/JPY

OVERVIEW Today last price 149.62 Today Daily Change 1.23 Today Daily Change % 0.83 Today daily open 148.39 TRENDS Daily SMA20 150.33 Daily SMA50 149.51 Daily SMA100 146.57 Daily SMA200 141.54 LEVELS Previous Daily High 148.6 Previous Daily Low 147.16 Previous Weekly High 151.91 Previous Weekly Low 149.2 Previous Monthly High 151.72 Previous Monthly Low 147.32 Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 148.05 Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 147.71 Daily Pivot Point S1 147.5 Daily Pivot Point S2 146.6 Daily Pivot Point S3 146.05 Daily Pivot Point R1 148.94 Daily Pivot Point R2 149.49 Daily Pivot Point R3 150.38

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