USD/JPY Continues Losing Streak On Firm Bets Over BoJ Quitting Negative Rates


The USD/JPY extends its losing spell for the fifth trading session on Monday. The asset drops 146.70 on broader weakness in the US Dollar and rising expectations for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) exiting its expansionary interest rate stance in the March monetary policy meeting.BoJ policymakers have indicated that a positive wage cycle will continue for a substantial period that will keep inflation sustainably above the desired target of 2%. Investors hope that the BoJ will scrap its Yield Curve Control (YCC) and will shift to policy normalization.Meanwhile, expectations for the BoJ raising interest rates have also been prompted, as the revised estimate for Japan’s Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) shows that the economy was not in a technical recession in the second half of 2023. The revised estimates show that the economy grew by 0.1% against a degrowth of 0.1% indicated by the preliminary estimates.On the US Dollar front, the expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates from the June policy meeting remain firm as labor market conditions have cooled down despite upbeat job growth. The United States employers recruited 275K jobs, against expectations of 200K and the prior reading of 229K, downwardly revised from 353K. The Unemployment Rate rose to 3.9% from 3.7%.Firm expectations for the Fed unwinding its restrictive policy stance for June have built pressure on the US Dollar. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges Greenabck’s value against six major currencies, drops to 102.70.For further guidance, investors await the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February, which will be published on Tuesday. Investors should note that the soft Average Hourly Earnings data for February, released on Friday, indicates cooling inflation expectations. USD/JPY

OVERVIEW Today last price 146.7 Today Daily Change -0.36 Today Daily Change % -0.24 Today daily open 147.06

 

TRENDS Daily SMA20 149.95 Daily SMA50 147.94 Daily SMA100 147.64 Daily SMA200 146.19

 

LEVELS Previous Daily High 148.12 Previous Daily Low 146.48 Previous Weekly High 150.57 Previous Weekly Low 146.48 Previous Monthly High 150.89 Previous Monthly Low 145.9 Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 147.11 Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 147.5 Daily Pivot Point S1 146.32 Daily Pivot Point S2 145.58 Daily Pivot Point S3 144.68 Daily Pivot Point R1 147.96 Daily Pivot Point R2 148.86 Daily Pivot Point R3 149.6

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