Image Source: PixabayAhead of the event risk of CPI, PPI, and FOMC Minutes this week, stocks ambled along while the STIRs market eviscerated more rate-cut hope, sending Treasury yields higher and gold and crypto also soared amid ‘policy error’ fears and geopolitical tensions.VIX is certainly primed for some action this week (and then to return to normal)…Source: BloombergRate-cut expectations for June fell back below 50%…Source: Bloomberg…and the market is now pricing in only 62bps of cuts in 2024…Source: BloombergAs ‘No Landing’/Reflation starts to dominate the ‘Soft Landing’ narrative…Source: BloombergTreasuries were mixed today with the long-end outperforming (2Y +4bps, 30Y unch)…Source: Bloomberg…which flattened the yield curve (2s30s)…Source: BloombergStocks, broadly speaking, went nowhere today, except for Small Caps which pumped and dumped and pumped around the cash open. A late-day selloff made things worse…Interestingly, 0-DTE traders fought the good fight today, buying calls aggressively into the equity market decline around lunchtime. While it stalled the decline, it did not prompt a rebound…Source: SpotGammaThe MAG7 stock basket went nowhere on the day…Source: Bloomberg‘Most Shorted’ stocks squeezed higher at the open and then went deadstick for the rest of the day…Source: BloombergThe dollar fell back towards Thursday’s lows today, after spiking back up on Friday’s payrolls print…Source: BloombergBitcoin soared back near record highs today nearing $73,000…Source: BloombergBut, Ethereum (back above $3700) has dramatically outperformed Bitcoin in the last few days …Source: Bloomberg…having bounced off critical support…Source: Bloomberg…Perhaps as hope of an imminent ETH ETF re-awakens…
Several ETF issuers have met w/ SEC re: spot ether ETF, but according to Barron’s…
“Those discussions have largely been one-sided, w/out the agency giving companies critical feedback needed to finalize their products.”
May 23rd deadline quickly approaching.
via @joelight pic.twitter.com/TFUfXB1ZjL
— Nate Geraci (@NateGeraci) April 8, 2024
Spot Gold prices topped $2350 overnight – a new record high – amid a frenzy of Chinese interest…Source: BloombergOil prices fell overnight amid headlines that Israel was pulling troops out of Gaza but that quickly reversed on reality that it was a small withdrawal and then Bibi confirmed a data for an attack on Rafah…Source: BloombergFinally, when will rates matter?Source: BloombergMaybe after this week’s Fed Minutes spoil the party?More By This Author:Goldman Offers “Burst Of Bullish Coverage” On Soaring Uranium Stocks
Credit Card Debt Surges To New All-Time High, Just As Card APR Rates Hit Fresh Record
‘Cocoa Could Double From Here’ – Oil-Bull Andurand Gets Greedy On Chocolate