Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
|
Forecast |
Prior |
|
|
|
Observation |
|
Week of April 29 |
|
|
|
April 29 |
|
|
|
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey |
-11.3 |
-14.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
April 30 |
|
|
|
Employment Cost Index – Q1 |
0.9% |
0.9 |
|
Employment Cost Index – Y/Y |
3.9 |
4.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
S&P Case/Shiller Index – February |
|
|
|
Twenty City M/M |
0.3% |
-0.1 |
|
Twenty City M/M – SA |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
Twenty City Y/Y |
6.7 |
6.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
FHFA Housing Price Index – February |
0.1% |
-0.1 |
|
Chicago PMI – April |
47 |
41.4 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
104.7 |
104.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
May 1 |
|
|
|
ADP Employment Report – April |
210K |
184 |
|
PMI Manufacturing Index – April |
49.9 |
49.9 |
|
ISM (Mfg) – April |
49.5 |
50.3 |
|
Construction Spending – March |
0.7% |
-0.3 |
|
JOLTS -March |
8.700M |
8.756 |
|
|
|
|
|
Auto Sales – April |
15.7K |
15.5 |
|
Car Sales |
3.0 |
3.1 |
|
Truck Sales |
12.7 |
12.5 |
|
FMOC |
5.375% |
5.375 |
|
|
|
|
|
May 2 |
|
|
|
Productivity – Q1 (p) |
1.8% |
3.2 |
|
Unit Labor Costs |
2.0 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
International Trade in Goods – March |
-$66.8B |
-68.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Factory Orders – March |
1.6% |
1.4 |
|
Durable Goods Orders |
2.5 |
1.3 |
|
Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.6 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
May 3 |
|
|
|
Nonfarm Payrolls – April |
250K |
303 |
|
Private |
210 |
232 |
|
Manufacturing |
12 |
0 |
|
Unemployment |
3.80% |
3.8 |
|
Average Workweek |
34.4HR |
34.4 |
|
Average Hourly Earnings |
0.4% |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
PMI Services Index |
50.9 |
50.9 |
|
ISM Services – April |
52.0 |
51.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Week of May 6 |
|
|
|
May 7 |
|
|
|
Consumer Credit – March |
15.5 |
14.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
May 10 |
|
|
|
Treasury Budget – April |
$270.0B |
-236 |
More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 22 & 29
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 15 & 22
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 8 And April 15