USD/CAD Price Analysis: Remains Inside The Woods In A Thin Trading-Volume Session


The USD/CAD pair trades in a narrow range near Friday’s low around 1.3650 in Monday’s European session. The Loonie asset is on the backfoot as the US Dollar faces selling pressure in a thin trading volume session as the United States (US) markets are closed on account of Memorial Day.The US Dollar could bounce back as investors worry that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not return to policy normalization before the last quarter of this year. The CME FedWatch tool shows that probability for interest rates remaining steady at their current levels after the September meeting has increased to 51% from 38% recorded last week.Also, Fed policymakers continue to maintain a hawkish guidance on interest rates as they believe that one-time decline in the inflation data as recorded for April is insufficient to get confidence that the progress in the disinflation process has resumed.Meanwhile, the Canadian Dollar could come under pressure as investors expect that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will start reducing interest rates from the June meeting. Canada’s weak Retail Sales and consistently declining price pressures have prompted expectations for BoC rate-cuts in June.USD/CAD trades in a Descending Triangle chart formation on a daily timeframe, which exhibits a sharp volatility contraction. The downward-sloping border of the above-mentioned chart pattern is plotted from April 16 high at 1.3846 while the horizontal support is marked from March 25 high near 1.3570.The Loonie asset remains sticky to the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 1.3670, suggesting a sideways trend.The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates in the 40.00-60.00 range, indicating indecisiveness among market participants.Fresh buying opportunity would emerge if the asset breaks above April 30 high at 1.3785. This would drive the asset towards April 17 high at 1.3838, followed by the round-level resistance of 1.3900.In an alternate scenario, a breakdown below May 3 low around 1.3600 will expose the asset to the April 9 low around 1.3547 and the psychological support of 1.3500. USD/CAD daily chart  USD/CAD

OVERVIEW Today last price 1.3656 Today Daily Change -0.0009 Today Daily Change % -0.07 Today daily open 1.3665

 

TRENDS Daily SMA20 1.3676 Daily SMA50 1.3649 Daily SMA100 1.3566 Daily SMA200 1.3572

 

LEVELS Previous Daily High 1.3739 Previous Daily Low 1.3648 Previous Weekly High 1.3744 Previous Weekly Low 1.3596 Previous Monthly High 1.3846 Previous Monthly Low 1.3478 Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3683 Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3704 Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3629 Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3593 Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3538 Daily Pivot Point R1 1.372 Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3775 Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3811

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