Image Source: PexelsMichigan is down in July, while business unit costs are up slightly.
Figure 1: Year-on-year actual CPI inflation (bold black), and expected inflation from University of Michigan (red), NY Fed (light green), Survey of Professional Forecasters (blue +), Coibion-Gorodnichenko SoFIE mean (sky blue squares), and unit cost growth rate (chartreuse), all in %. Source: BLS, U.Michigan via FRED, NY Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, Cleveland Fed, and author’s calculations.More By This Author:Russia: Policy Rate Raised To 18% Business Cycle Indicators At End Of July2024Q2 GDP Advance Release: Too Good To Be True?
