Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.       Forecast      Prior Observation   Week of September 23       September 23       Chicago Fed National Activity Index – August -0.20 -0.34           PMI Manufacturing – Flash 48.4 47.9   PMI Services Flash 55.0 54.6           September 24       S&P Case/Shiller Index – July       Twenty City M/M 0.1% 0.6   Twenty City M/M – SA 0.5 0.4   Twenty City Y/Y 5.9 6.5           FHFA Home Price Index – July 0.2% -0.1   Consumer Confidence – September 102.0 103.3   Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index -15.0 -19.0           September 25       New Home Sales – August 700K 739.0           September 26       Durable Goods Orders – August -2.9% 9.8   GDP – Q2 (f) 3.0% 3.0           Pending Home Sale Index – Aug 73.2 70.2           September 27       International Trade in Goods – August -$100.0B -102.7   Wholesale Inventories – August (a) 0.2% 0.2           Personal Income – August 0.4% 0.3   Personal Spending 0.3 0.5           Michigan Consumer Sentiment – Sept (r)               Week of September 30       September 30       Chicago PMI – September 46.1% 46.1   Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index -10 -9.7           October 1       ISM (Mfg) – Sept 47.5 47.2   Construction Spending – August 0.0% -0.3   JOLTS – August 7650K 7.673           Auto Sales – September 15.2M 15.1   Car Sales 2.9 2.9   Truck Sales 12.3 12.3           October 2       ADP Employment Report – September  135K 99           October 3       ISM Services – September 52.0 51.5           Factory Orders – August -1.1% 5.0   Durable Goods Orders  -2.9 9.8   Nondurable Goods Orders  0.6 0.8   PMI Manufacturing Index               October 4       Nonfarm Payrolls – September 153K 142   Private 135 118   Manufacturing 5 -24   Unemployment 4.2% 4.2   Average Workweek 34.3HR 34.3   Average Hourly Earnings 0.3% 0.4        

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