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Here are my forecasts for the upcoming economic data. |
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Prior |
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Forecast |
Observations |
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Week of October 21 |
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October 21 |
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Leading Indicators |
-0.3 |
-0.2 |
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October 22 |
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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
-15 |
-21 |
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October 23 |
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Existing Home Sales – September |
3.800M |
3.860 |
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October 24 |
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index |
0.5 |
0.12 |
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New Home Sales – September |
716K |
716 |
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October 25 |
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Durable Goods Sales – September |
-1.0% |
0.0 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – Oct (r) |
68.9 |
68.9 |
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Week of October 28 |
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October 28 |
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Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
-9.0 |
-9.0 |
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October 29 |
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International Trade in Goods – September (a) |
-94.1 |
-94.3 |
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Wholesale Inventories – September (a) |
0.0% |
0.1 |
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S&P Case/Shiller Index – August |
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Twenty City M/M |
-0.3% |
0.0 |
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Twenty City M/M – SA |
0.4 |
0.3 |
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Twenty City Y/Y |
5.2 |
5.9 |
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FHFA House Price Index – August |
0.2% |
0.1 |
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Consumer Confidence |
99.3 |
98.7 |
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JOLTS – September |
7.900 |
8.040 |
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October 30 |
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ADP Employment Report – October |
115K |
143 |
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GDP – Q3 (a) |
3.0% |
3.0 |
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October 31 |
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Employment Cost Index – Q3 |
1.0% |
0.9 |
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Employment Cost Index – Y/Y |
4.1 |
4.1 |
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Personal Income – September |
0.4% |
0.2 |
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Personal Spending |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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PCE Price Index |
0.2 |
0.1 |
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Core PCE Price Index |
0.3 |
0.1 |
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Novenber 1 |
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Nonfarm Payrolls – October |
140K |
254 |
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Private |
115 |
223 |
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Manufacturing |
-30 |
-7 |
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Unemployment |
4.1% |
4.1 |
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Average Workweek |
34.2HR |
34.2 |
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Average Hourly Earnings |
0.3% |
0.4 |
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Auto Sales – October |
15.7M |
15.1 |
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Car Sales |
3.0 |
2.9 |
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Truck Sales |
12.7 |
12.3 |
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More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 7 & 14Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 30 & Oct. 7Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 23 & 30