Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Nov. 11 And 18


Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.   Forecast Prior       Observation           Week of November 11       November 12       NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index – October 91.5 91.5           November 13       Consumer Price Index – October 0.2% 0.2   Core CPI 0.3 0.3           Treasury Budget – October -$265.0B -64.3           November 14       Producer Price Index – October 0.2% 0.0   PPI less food, energy and trade services 0.3 0.2           November 15       Retail Sales – October 0.3% 0.4   Retail Sales, ex Autos 0.3 0.5   Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas 0.4 0.7           NY Fed Manufacturing Index 0.0 -11.9           Export Prices –  October 0.0% -0.7   Import Prices -0.1 -0.4   Import Prices, ex-Energy -0.2 0.2   Import Prices, Energy               Industrial Production – October -0.3% -0.3   Capacity Utilization 77.2 77.5   Manufacturing -0.5 -0.4           Business Inventories – September 0.1% 0.3           Week of November 18       November 18       NAHB Index 45 43           November 19       Housing Starts – October 1.340M 1.354           November 21       Philadelphia Fed Survey 8.0 10.3   Leading Indicators -0.3 -0.5   Existing Home Sales – October 3.880M 3.840        

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