COTTON
General Comments: Cotton was higher yesterday and the trends are now mixed in this market. Support came from a very strong weekly export sales report as some buyers look to cover positions before the tariffs that President Trump is expected to impose. China has big problems with its domestic economy with consumer buying interest not strong and many people not working. There are still reports of weaker demand potential against an outlook for improved but still rather low US production in the coming year.
Overnight News:
Chart Trends: Trends in Cotton are mixed. Support is at 69.80, 69.00, and 68.00 December, with resistance of 71.40, 72.70 and 73.50 December.DepositPhotos
FCOJ
General Comments: FCOJ closed sharply higher yesterday after braking out higher from the recent trading range in the previous session. The market remains well supported in the longer term based on forecasts for tight supplies in Florida. The reduced production appears to be mostly at the expense of the greening disease and some extreme weather seen in the last couple of years. There are no weather concerns to speak of for Brazil right now. Rain is expected this week.
Overnight News:
Chart Trends: Trends in FCOJ are mixed to up. Support is at 484.00, 481.00, and 470.00 January, with resistance at a 516.00, 522.00, and 528.00 January.
COFFEE
General Comments: New York closed higher and London closed lower yesterday. Reports of reduced offers from Brazil and Vietnam on weather induced short crops continue. There are reports from Brazil that producers have already sold a lot of Coffee and are holding back on selling more even with good demand. The chart trends are still up in both markets. The harvest in Vietnam is active, but selling has been slow. Rain remains in the forecast for Brazil crop areas. There are now reports for good rains in Brazil as the rainy season is now under way after very dry conditions.
Overnight News: The ICO average price is 280.45 ct/lb.
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are up. Support is at 284.00, 279.00, and 273.00 March, and resistance is at 300.00, 306.00 and 312.00 March. Trends in London are up. Support is at 4560, 4470, and 4340 January, with resistance at 4880, 5100, and 5280 January.
SUGAR
General Comments: New York and London were lower again yesterday. The current Brazil rains have kept the harvest and crushing pace down but could provide a boost to production for next year. Trends are mixed to down in both markets. Indian and Thai mills are expecting strong crops of cane. It is also wet in Brazil, and this has affected harvest progress. Supplies available to the market could be less in the next six months. Total Brazil production has been affected by drought seen earlier in the year and the fires that destroyed crops in some areas.
Overnight News:
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed to down. Support is at 2110, 2020, and 1980 March and resistance is at 2260, 2300, and 2340 March. Trends in London are mixed to down. Support is at 540.00, 536.00, and 529.00 March, with resistance at 581.00, 592.00, and 596.00 March.
COCOA
General Comments: Both markets closed higher. Chart trends are up in both markets. Producers in Ghana and in Ivory Coast have been fighting against too much rain that has made it hard to harvest and deliver crops. It has been very wet in West Africa lately and this is bringing concerns that pod disease could develop. Production in West Africa could be stronger this year on the overall improved weather in Ivory Coast and Ghana. The Ivory Coast government has now reduced contract offers by about 40% on worries about less production due to too much rain. Ivory Coast port arrivals now total 549,000 tons, from 417,000 tons last year.
Overnight News:
Chart Trends: Trends in New York are mixed to up. Support is at 8110, 7950, and 7180 March, with resistance at 8780, 8840, and 8900 March. Trends in London are mixed to up. Support is at 7150, 6850, and 6510 March, with resistance at 7440, 7500, and 7560 March.More By This Author:Grains Report – Thursday, Nov. 21Softs Report – Wednesday, Nov. 20Grains Report – Tuesday, Nov. 19