Japanese Yen Sticks To Modest Intraday Gains Against Usd; Lacks Follow-through


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  • The Japanese Yen attracts some buyers on Thursday, albeit lacking bullish conviction.
  • Dovish remarks by BoJ’s Nakamura, rebounding US bond yields cap gains for the JPY.
  • Traders seem reluctant to place aggressive bets ahead of the US NFP report on Friday. 
  • The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains on the front foot against its American counterpart through the Asian session on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through buying amid mixed fundamental cues. Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Toyoaki Nakamura maintains his dovish stance, which, along with the prevalent risk-on mood, acts as a headwind for the safe-haven JPY. Meanwhile, the overnight hawkish remarks by influential FOMC members, including Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, suggest that the US central bank will take a cautious stance on cutting rates. This leads to a modest bounce in the US bond yields and turns out to be another factor that contributes to capping any further gains for the lower-yielding JPY. That said, signs that the underlying inflation in Japan is gaining momentum keep the December BoJ rate hike on the table. This, along with persistent geopolitical tensions and concerns about US President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff plans, continues to underpin the safe-haven JPY and might keep a lid on any attempted intraday positive move in the USD/JPY pair.

    Japanese Yen bulls turn cautious after dovish remarks from BoJ’s Nakamura
     

  • Stronger Tokyo Consumer Price Index for November and Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda’s hawkish remarks last week lifted bets for another interest rate hike in December. 
  • BoJ board member Toyoaki Nakamura said that he is not confident about the sustainability of wage growth and sees a chance that inflation may miss 2% from fiscal 2025 onward.
  • Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov cautioned that Russia could escalate its military actions in Ukraine if the US and its allies fail to acknowledge its boundaries.
  • Investors remain concerned that US President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff plans would trigger the second wave of global trade wars and its effects on the global economy. 
  • The Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) Services PMI dropped to a three-month low level of 52.1 in November, from 56.0 in the prior month and missing estimates. 
  • The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield slipped on Wednesday and registered its lowest closing level since October 21, though the downside remains limited.
  • The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book showed on Wednesday that economic activity increased s
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