Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 20 And 27, 2025


Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.           Prior     Forecast Observation   Week of January 20       January 22       Leading Indicators 0.0% 0.3           January 23       Initial Unemployment Claims       Chicago Fed Natonal Activity Index – December -0.12 -0.12           January 24       PMI Manufacturing Flash Index – January 48.4 49.4   PMI Services Flash Index – January 56.8 56.8           Existing Home Sales – December 4.200M 4.150   Michigan Consumer Sentiment – February (f) 73.2 73.2           Week of January 27       January 27       New Home Sales – December 672K 664   Dallas Fed Index – January -3.0 3.4           January 28       Durable Goods Orders – December 1.0% -1.2           S&P Case/Shiller Index – November       Twenty City M/M -0.1% -0.2   Twenty City M/M – SA 0.3 0.3   Twenty City Y/Y 4.3 4.3           FHFA Housing Market Index – November 0.4% 0   Consumer Confidence Index 106.0 104.7   Richmond Fed Index -10.0 -6.0           January 29       International Trade in Goods (a) – December -115.1B -102.9   Wholesale Inventories (a) 0.4% -0.2   FOMC 4.375% 4.375           January 30       GDP – Q4 (a) 2.8% 3.1   Pending Home Sales – December  78.3 79.1           January 31       Employment Cost Index – Q4 1.1% 0.8   Employment Cost Index – Y/Y 3.9 3.9           Personal Income – December 0.4% 0.3   Personal Spending 0.4 0.4           Chicago PMI – January 40.0 36.9    

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