Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
|
|
|
|
Forecast |
Prior |
|
|
|
Observation |
|
Week of February 10 |
|
|
|
February 11 |
|
|
|
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index – January |
103.5 |
105.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
February 12 |
|
|
|
Consumer Price Index – January |
0.3% |
0.4 |
|
Core CPI |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Treasury Budget – January |
-$45.5B |
-86.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
February 13 |
|
|
|
Producer Price Index – January |
0.3% |
0.2 |
|
PPI less food, energy and trade services |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
February 14 |
|
|
|
Retail Sales – January |
0.4% |
0.4 |
|
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Export Prices – January |
0.3% |
0.3 |
|
Import Prices |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum |
-0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Industrial Production – January |
0.2% |
0.9 |
|
Manufacturing Output |
0.0 |
0.6 |
|
Capacity Utilization |
77.6 |
77.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Business Inventories – December |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Week of February 17 |
|
|
|
February 18 |
|
|
|
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
-5.3 |
-12.6 |
|
NAHB Index – February |
47 |
47 |
|
|
|
|
|
February 19 |
|
|
|
Housing Starts – January |
1.397M |
1.499 |
|
Building Permits |
1.440 |
1.483 |
|
|
|
|
|
February 20 |
|
|
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
215K |
219 |
|
Leading Indicators – January |
0.0% |
-0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
February 21 |
|
|
|
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
50.5 |
51.2 |
|
PMI Services Flash Index |
53.0 |
52.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Existing Home Sales – January |
4.050M |
4.240 |
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment – February (r) |
|
71.1 |
More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 3 and 10
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 27 & Feb. 3
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 20 And 27, 2025