One Year Inflation Expectations Upside Surprise


Person Holding Blue and Clear Ballpoint PenImage Source: PexelsMichigan 1 year expectations at 4.3% vs 3.3% Bloomberg consensus.Figure 1: Year-on-Year CPI inflation (bold black), one year ahead Michigan (red), NY Fed (green), all in %. Source: BLS, U.Michigan and NY Fed.A one percentage point increase in y/y expected inflation is over two standard deviations from expected.More By This Author:Business Cycle Indicators With January Employment Reported Civilian Employment Jumps 2.4 Million (1.5%)Costing Trump Tax Priorities

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